<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 48pt; mso-char-indent-count: 3.0; mso-line-height-alt: 12.75pt"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"> </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312"><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312"> </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312"><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312">大盘周五再度走出冲高回落行情，上午石化双雄一度带领大盘反弹翻红，但是午后市场的抛售压力极为沉重；</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">当日大盘早盘开于<SPAN lang=EN-US>3051</SPAN>点收于<SPAN lang=EN-US>3013</SPAN>点<SPAN lang=EN-US>,K</SPAN>线收盘高低点低于上根<SPAN lang=EN-US>K</SPAN>线，收缩量长阴<SPAN lang=EN-US>K</SPAN>线，从单根<SPAN lang=EN-US>K</SPAN>线上看大盘向下寻求支撑的要求。从盘面上看</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312">所有行业指数板块全部回落，无一红盘，黄金、银行、保险和机械等板块走势较强、地产钢铁和通信则成为全天表现最弱的板块，也成为大盘杀跌的主要因素。周末效应再度显现，这个周末效应并不一般，因为两会结束，加之<SPAN lang=EN-US>CPI</SPAN>超出预期，货币紧缩的预期愈发强烈。大盘午后放量跳水，主要无法乎上述两个因素，一是两会蜜月期结束，并未有重大利好出台。二是货币政策紧缩的预期强烈。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 48pt; mso-char-indent-count: 3.0; mso-line-height-alt: 12.75pt"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">从技术短期<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>分钟形态上看均线有再次由上而下空头排列的要求，形态上有所走坏，从<SPAN lang=EN-US>DKJ</SPAN>指标上看高位超买因此周一大幅杀跌破<SPAN lang=EN-US>3000</SPAN>点可逢低买股等待技术型反弹行情</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312">；</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">从日线上看，</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312">日线沪指继失守<SPAN lang=EN-US>3050</SPAN>点重要关口、<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>日均线和<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>日均线后，今日再度失守<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>日均线和<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>日均线。日线的技术指标<SPAN lang=EN-US>KDJ</SPAN>继续下行，并无回转之势，<SPAN lang=EN-US> MACD</SPAN>指标有高位死叉的可能，结合小周期趋势向下杀跌的趋势。技术上看，下周大盘仍有探底的可能，不排除沪指再度跌破<SPAN lang=EN-US>3000</SPAN>点。周线上看二周想突破<SPAN lang=EN-US>120</SPAN>均线压制，但还是冲高回落，因此下周将选择短期方向；<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 48pt; mso-char-indent-count: 3.0; mso-line-height-alt: 12.75pt"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">声明：在作者所知情的范围内，本人以及财产上的利害关系人与所评价或推荐的证券没有利害关系，本人分析文章仅供参考，不作为投资决策的依据。本人不承担任何投资行为产生的相应后果<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></P> dddddddddddddddddddd ddddddddddddddddddddddd
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