<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 48pt; mso-char-indent-count: 3.0; mso-line-height-alt: 12.75pt"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"> </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312"><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312"> </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 楷体_GB2312"><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312">周四深沪<SPAN lang=EN-US>A</SPAN>股震荡有所加大，上海综指在下破<SPAN lang=EN-US>3030</SPAN>点后，受到多头的顽强抵抗式护盘拉回；</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">当日大盘早盘开于<SPAN lang=EN-US>3050</SPAN>点收于<SPAN lang=EN-US>3051</SPAN>点<SPAN lang=EN-US>,K</SPAN>线收盘高低点低于上根<SPAN lang=EN-US>K</SPAN>线，收缩量十字星<SPAN lang=EN-US>K</SPAN>线，从单根<SPAN lang=EN-US>K</SPAN>线上看大盘转折选择方向的要求。从盘面上看</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312">由于目前基金机构的仓位过重，其如果向下大幅度破位，那么其将面临机构亏损的局面，护盘能否成功需要关注市场响应程度，特别是成交量的配合情况。从市场争夺来看，我们认为这种争夺可能短期仍将继续，投资者不妨以适量资金对行业区域龙头类、股价适中、调整相对充分的品种进行关注，比如处于西北区域啤酒龙头地位的兰州黄河、云南百货类潜力品种昆百大等。从市场轨迹来看，多空的争夺短期内如无重大实质性因素影响，其震荡的盘面仍将继续<SPAN lang=EN-US>;</SPAN>而如果无量的放大或极萎缩，那么市场上下两难的局面则保持。<SPAN lang=EN-US><BR><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">从技术短期<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>分钟形态上看均线走平，形态还是上涨形态中技术性回落，明天大盘有反弹要求，注意收盘突破<SPAN lang=EN-US>3060</SPAN>点十分关键</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312">；</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">从日线上看，</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312">大盘在五周线和十周线徘徊了近三周短期均线系统开始进入缠绕期，离方向性选择的时间越来越近。明天是周末，大盘很可能如笔者上周末的判断收出十字小阴阳，也就是说偏离本周开盘<SPAN lang=EN-US>3036</SPAN>点不会太远，依旧是震荡的走势，为下周大盘作出方向性选择留下悬念。操作上，不再重复，让我们静静等待市场做出方向性选择的时间的到来。</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 9.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 楷体_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">声明：在作者所知情的范围内，本人以及财产上的利害关系人与所评价或推荐的证券没有利害关系，本人分析文章仅供参考，不作为投资决策的依据。本人不承担任何投资行为产生的相应后果<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></P><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK2"></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK1"></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK4"></SPAN><SPAN style="mso-bookmark: OLE_LINK3"></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 16pt; COLOR: black; 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