糖堂 发表于 2010-2-16 13:00

<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">IkonFx </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">分析师</SPAN><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">佟坤:一周汇市展望</SPAN><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">(</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2010.2.15 – 2010.2.19</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">)</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></FONT></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">基本面分析</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 17.95pt; TEXT-INDENT: 10.5pt; mso-para-margin-left: 1.71gd; mso-char-indent-count: 1.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">上周市场呈现出乐观与紧张气氛交错的局面,欧元区成员国的债务问题仍旧为市场的关注焦点。虽然传出希腊财政危机将得到欧盟援助,一度带动高收益货币上扬,但后因缺乏具体援助细节,反而使得市场对成功解决希腊问题疑窦丛生。而上周末中国再次出乎意料的宣布上调存款准备金利率,令商品货币压力顿生,担心因中国的紧缩政策会直接影响到国际商品市场,进而给世界经济复苏又增添了些许未知数。</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 17.95pt; TEXT-INDENT: 10.5pt; mso-para-margin-left: 1.71gd; mso-char-indent-count: 1.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">尽管如此,大多数非美货币上周呈上涨姿态,因美国公布的重要经济数据差于预期,导致市场对美联储尽早升息期望减弱,客观上助涨美国股市进行反弹,从而带动避险情绪升温。这是耐人寻味的,市场目前究竟是受美国加息预期指引,还是为避险情绪所左右,抑或二者交替对市场产生着影响,本周我们将从汇率走势中进一步寻求答案。预计周内外汇市场将继续跟随各国股市动向,非美货币将在风浪中寻找扩大反弹的契机。</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><FONT face="Times New Roman">2.<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></FONT></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">技术分析</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 21.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">l<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">DXY</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美元指数上周最后一个交易日中创出阶段性高点</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">80.74</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">后回落,但仍站稳于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">5</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线之上,维持了近期强势。从周图看,美指已升至自</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">09</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">年</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月下跌以来的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.382</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">斐波那契回调位和</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">55</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">周均线以上,预示后市美指仍保有上涨动能。但本周内美元强势料不会一帆风顺,因前周后两个交易日美指均冲高回落,收出较长上影线,表明美元卖压还比较沉重,美元只有在技术上进一步回调,在消化掉卖方压力后才能更好的重拾升势。预计美指上行阻力位于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">80.50 -80.60</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">区间,如周内美指下行,支撑依次位于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">80.00</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">79.70</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">79.50</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">一线,而最强支撑则在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">79.00</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">附近。</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 21.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">l<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">DJI</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美国道琼斯股票指数上周收盘后维持在万点大关之上,目前处于近期下降通道顶部,持稳于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">10</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线以上,短线应保持继续上攻态势。本周道琼斯如能有效上破通道顶部,将打开向前期高点</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">10300</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">点附近的反弹空间,势必在风险偏好升温时带动非美货币上扬。反之,周内道琼斯指数如因风险事件止升转跌,则会掉头重新下破万点关口,并进一步指向前期低点</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">9800</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">点区间,非美货币则因此遭遇抛售。</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-char-indent-count: -2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-char-indent-count: -2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 21.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">l<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">EURUSD</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">欧元连续</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">5</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">周阴跌后,目前从日线图看相对强弱指标有底背离迹象,但尚未确立。本周欧元仍有进一步下探的可能性,目标指向</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">61.8%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">斐波那契回调位</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.3480</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">附近。但预计欧元在持续下行之前有可能进行技术性反弹,反弹初步阻力位于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">5</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线处</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.3700</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">一线,如上破可看</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">10</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线附近</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.3750 – 1.3760</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">区间。</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-char-indent-count: -2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-char-indent-count: -2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 21.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">l<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">GBPUSD</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">英镑于上周末尾市探低后大幅拉起,汇价始终震荡运行于阶段趋势线以上,表明英镑可能形成短期底部后展开上行。但英国基本面形势并不乐观,加之英国央行乐见英镑汇率走低的观点,使得英镑的反弹力度必将受限。如周内英镑有效上破颈线位</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.5700</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">水平,上行阻力将首先位于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">10</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线处</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.5750</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">一线,突破后可上看本轮下跌行情的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.382</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">斐波那契回调位</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.5880</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">区域。</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 21.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">l<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">USDJPY</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美日上周末冲击下降通道顶部,未能有效突破后回落,目前处于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">100</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日和</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">55</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线以下,收于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">10</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线附近。技术上美日后市前景并不乐观,本周内美日可能再次测试通道顶部</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">90.10 – 90.20</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">区间,如上破,将打开通向</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">91.00 – 91.20</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">的上行空间。反之,美日可能重新向前期低点</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">88.50</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">以及通道底部</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">88.20</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">方向滑落。</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-char-indent-count: -2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 21.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">l<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">AUDUSD</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">澳元目前在本轮反弹中维持强势,日图中汇价暂时被压制于布林带中轨之下,但</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">5</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线即将上穿</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">10</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线形成金叉,如此将给澳元带来继续上行的动能。预计周内澳元维持升势,在突破布林中轨后可能朝向</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">55</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.9000</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">和</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">100</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.9050</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">一线运动。下行支撑位于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">5</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线处</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.8800</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">附近。</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-char-indent-count: -2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </FONT></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 21.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: Wingdings; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">l<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">XAUUSD</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">黄金上周伴随商品货币澳元、加元等强势反弹,目前受阻于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">100</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线,但仍保持强势。本周金价如能有效突破</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">100</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日均线及趋势线</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1097.00 – 1098.00</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">区间,在持稳于</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1100.00</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">整数位之上后,将打开通向</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1150.00 – 1160.00</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">的上涨空间,之前会在阶段性高点</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1125.00</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">水平遇到阻力。</SPAN></P>
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