八飞忒看盘 发表于 2009-10-31 13:52

<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=center><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">【下周股市藏</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">亿大奖,你看不出来吗?】</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">十年磨一剑,昨天创业板终于上市了。引起了市场内的一片关注,很多开了户,还没那些没有开户的小散们,都摩拳擦掌,准备到这里面去博一把!</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">创业板里面有没有机会呢?肯定是有的,但是这机会有多大,这大饼能不能砸到我们小散的头上呢?先看两组量化交易数据吧:创业板经过首日爆炒后平均市盈率达到了</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">111</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">倍,而主板市场目前平均市盈率为</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">30.91</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">倍;创业板首日上市交易平均涨幅达到了</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">106%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,而</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">09</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">年</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">A</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">股市场</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">IPO</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">首日平均涨幅仅为</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">66%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">而且创业板首日买进的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">97%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">都是我们中小投资者,基金、社保等一些大资金都按兵不动。还是那句话,看了上面这几组量化数据,我就只能得出这么一个结论,创业板里面肯定会存在市场机会的,但这个机会如果要砸到我们小散身上,我估计这其中的可能性就和买彩票中</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">3.6</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">亿大奖的概率差不多。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">人总是会从一个极端走向另一个极端,既然创业板的机会,我们小散不能把握住,那么创业板上市会不会显得主板市场的股票便宜了,那咱们就去买主板的股票了。呵呵,当然主板市场中个股机会比创业板要多,毕竟市场容量不一样,而且相对而言,咱们小散还能把握住的。但是如果没有方向去乱撞,结果一样是得不偿失的。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">还是从一组量化数据中找一些方向的,这其中我们引用了机构看市场的专用指数——博尔指数,这个指数在博尔证券量化交易系统中就能找到了,给大家下一周博尔指数多空概率的数据,这就是下周市场的关键位置,大家一看就知道,下周该在什么位置去买进,该在什么位置上面去卖出了。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">博尔指数下周的多空概率(关键位置):</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">做空概率</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">95%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">:</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">14.35<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">做空概率</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">68%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">:</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">13.8<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">做多概率</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">68%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">:</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">12.7<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">做多概率</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">95%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">:</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">12.15<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">(以上数据来自于博尔证券量化交易系统)</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">大家参考的时候注意了,当博尔指数触及做空概率的时候,我们就要谨慎,控制好自己的仓位;而在做多概率附近的时候,我们就要关注,市场有机会了,介入上涨的机会很大。这个博尔指数不像上证指数一样,会受权重股的影响,它能客观地反应市场的真实情况,而且之前在市场中一反复验证过这些量化数据的准备性,一方面大家可以翻看我之前的帖子,尤其是本周三周四的帖子,就在那个时候,博尔指数触及了做多概率</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">68%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">位置,当时就告诉大家这是市场的机会来了。另一方面大家也可以直接到博尔证券量化交易系统上面,去翻看之前的量化数据,这样大家就会找到其中的规律了。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">市场介入的时机给大家了,至于到时候介入什么的个股,同样大家可以参考博尔证券量化交易个股下一周的多空概率数据,也是在做多概率线附近买进,大家可以参照目前自己手中的个股去一一查看,这里也不做过多分析了,反正只要上网搜一下,就能找到博尔证券量化交易

八飞忒看盘 发表于 2009-10-31 14:28

点点滴滴点点滴滴点对点

八飞忒看盘 发表于 2009-10-31 15:55

ddddddd

股市家园 发表于 2009-11-1 22:02

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