八飞忒看盘 发表于 2009-10-12 11:15

<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=center><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">【汇金增持,前戏?高潮?还是早泄?】</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">汇金增持三大行了,这是今天早上最最重要的一条新闻,各大网站、各大论坛铺天盖地,都是很多相关的评论,有看好的,也有认为不值一提的。总结了一下,供大家参考参考。</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">利好评论:</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 39pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 39.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1、<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''">&nbsp; </SPAN></FONT></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">增持银行股,说明大资金开始关注这个市场了。很显然汇金代表的是管理层的某种态度,这无形中给了市场活力的源泉;</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 39pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 39.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><FONT face="Times New Roman">2、<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''">&nbsp; </SPAN></FONT></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">银行股涨了,有资金进入了,有效封杀了大盘下跌的空间。</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">利空评论:</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 39.1pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 39.1pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1、<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''"> </SPAN></FONT></SPAN></SPAN></B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">增持</SPAN><FONT face="Times New Roman"><SPAN lang=EN-US>0.0</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">1%</SPAN></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">就消息满天飞,有什么价值么?可理解为向市场打强心剂;</SPAN><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 39.1pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 39.1pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-fareast-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><FONT face="Times New Roman">2、<SPAN style="FONT: 7pt ''Times New Roman''"> </SPAN></FONT></SPAN></SPAN></B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">又是一种作秀,买点银行股对市场不会有太大的影响。</SPAN><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">其实这些评论说的都有些道理的,但是关于为什么在这个位置上面,汇金的资金偏偏会选择银行股来增持的评论却很少看见。既然汇金在这个位置增持银行股,肯定有他们增持的道理,笔者还是通过机构的投资平台——博尔证券量化交易系统中的量化数据来寻找一些答案吧:</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">首先,从行业基本面的量化数据来看,银行行业是博尔证券量化交易系统</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">60</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">个行业中,几个到目前为止还处在低估区域中的行业,目前该行业的中枢价值在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">18.2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">附近,而目前行业的平均价格仅为</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">13.63</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">元,被整整低估了</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">24.29%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">其次,从行业资金的量化数据来看,在博尔证券量化交易系统中有着一个重要的理念,就是“资金发现价值”。通过博尔系统的主导动能来看,从</SPAN><?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate w:st="on" Year="2009" Month="9" Day="22" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">9</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">22</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日起</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,就开始有出现空头回补资金介入,而同期大盘还处在调整的过程中。</SPAN><st1:chsdate w:st="on" Year="2009" Month="9" Day="24" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">9</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">24</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,就出现了明显增量资金进场的迹象,说明银行行业的投资价值目前的确是被资金认可的,看来这次汇金增持真的是有备而来的。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">面对这次汇金公司的增持,我们这些小散该怎么办?也马上去买银行股吗?给大家两个策略去参考:</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">策略</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">1</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">:</SPAN></B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">从银行股的多空概率数据来看,本周该行业做空</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">68%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">概率的位置在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">14.75</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">元,短期上冲还有一定的潜力,但要注意上冲过程要注意压力,每个银行股的实际情况也不一样,具体每个个股的做空概率位置大家可以直接上博尔证券量化交易系统上面去参考一下。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">策略</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">2</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">:</SPAN></B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">除了银行股之外,在博尔证券量化交易系统中,还有</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">4</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">个行业还处在低估区域中,而且在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">10</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月份开始都已经出现资金关注的迹象,这些行业会不会成为大资金下一个增持的对象呢,建议大家对网上搜到博尔证券量化交易系统,下一个自己去看一下,去验证一下,反正全是免费的,觉得有用有价值,就不妨参考一下。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
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八飞忒看盘 发表于 2009-10-12 13:04

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八飞忒看盘 发表于 2009-10-12 13:56

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八飞忒看盘 发表于 2009-10-12 17:25

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八飞忒看盘 发表于 2009-10-12 19:13

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小东 发表于 2009-10-12 20:46

八飞忒看盘 发表于 2009-10-13 09:20

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