<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: center" align=center><SPAN lang=EN-US><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p><FONT face=宋体> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">继续做功课，只有认认真真的对待股市才能在市场里获得一份满意的回报，笔者仔细看了一下论坛的点击和朋友们的文章，大至分了两类：</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT face=宋体><SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">、到处查暴涨的理由，然后在这些理由里给自己的已有判断找支持。</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><FONT face=宋体><SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">、分析数据的前因后果，得出自己的结论，然后进市场赌一把。</SPAN></FONT></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">笔者是倾向于后者的，虽然股市需要独断、需要赌性，但现有理性然后在赌，胜面更大。</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face=宋体> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">对资金的量化数据分析</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><FONT face=宋体><?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="30" Month="9" Year="2009"><SPAN lang=EN-US>9</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">上海银行间隔夜拆借利率环比上涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>34%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">，说明突然有人大量借钱了，而且就借一天，每一笔钱的流向无从可考，但博尔主导动能显示</SPAN><st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="30" Month="9" Year="2009"><SPAN lang=EN-US>9</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">主导动能显示为蓝色，蓝色代表空头回补，说明有人低位买股票了，旋即是节前收盘以后，财政部发文《关于个人金融商品买卖等营业税若干免税政策的通知》，正式宣布个人炒股免营业税，鼓励投机。</SPAN><st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="9" Month="10" Year="2009"><SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>9</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">银行间</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">月期拆借利率自</SPAN><st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="27" Month="8" Year="2009"><SPAN lang=EN-US>8</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>27</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">以来首次回落，回落代表经济系统不缺钱，而同时博尔主导动能显示为一根长红，红色代表场外资金进场，主导动能的变化和拆借利率的变化几乎同步，可见网络时代资金转移、流动速度之快。</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face=宋体> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">那么未来不差钱的环境下钱会不会进股市，很简单，盯住主导动能就可以，只要主导动能保持红色，就说明是场外资金进入股市，那股市方向就是向上，看不到的朋友可以网上下载一个博尔证券量化交易系统，反正体验也是免费的，只要主导动能红色持续不断，那</SPAN><FONT face=宋体><SPAN lang=EN-US>3500</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">必见。</SPAN></FONT></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">对价格的量化数据分析</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">长假前后的上涨内因已经可以确定了，就是之前下跌跌到了做多概率</SPAN><FONT face=宋体><SPAN lang=EN-US>68%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">的位置，此后的上涨可能性很大，股市为什么可以预测，本质就是这个最市场经济的东西在我们这是最计划经济的，不相信的仔细想想，</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>IPO</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">是不是计划的？发行基金是不是计划的？银根松紧是不是计划的？万一超出计划那就立刻调控，“</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>530</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">”大家难道都忘了吗？既然计划都制定好了，当然是可以预测的，但笔者不是管理层，不能做到</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>100%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">准确（笔者相信管理层能做到</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>100%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">准确），所以选择用博尔证券量化交易系统来在做概率分析，当上涨概率超过</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>68%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">以上的时候就可以参与，当上涨概率超过</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>95%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">的时候就满仓赌一把。小散如果要做无风险投资，要么存银行和房价赛跑，要么打新股看运气，除此之外非赌不可，区别只是你在什么概率的位置出手。</SPAN></FONT></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">下周算是正式开始一周的完整行情了，照道理来说鼓励投机的市场应该看博尔指数来分析，因为博尔指数能看清市场的真实情况，但考虑到过了一个长假大家会有些生疏，还是拿上证指数来分析，先公布一组上证指数的量化数据：</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">上证指数</SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">做空概率</SPAN><FONT face=宋体><SPAN lang=EN-US>95%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">：</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>3109</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">点</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">做空概率</SPAN><FONT face=宋体><SPAN lang=EN-US>68%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">：</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>3024</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">点</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">做多概率</SPAN><FONT face=宋体><SPAN lang=EN-US>68%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">：</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>2813</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">点</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">做多概率</SPAN><FONT face=宋体><SPAN lang=EN-US>95%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">：</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>2708</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">点</SPAN></FONT></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">结合上面说到过的主导动能，下周的计划就很容易制定，如果主导动能依旧是红色，场外资金进场，那我们可以看高一线，但如果涨到</SPAN><FONT face=宋体><SPAN lang=EN-US>3024</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">以上那出现震荡的可能很大。反过来如果主导动能不能出现持续红色，那在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>2813</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri">以下介入更为安全。当然鼓励投机的市场个股行情肯定会很疯，具体的个股还有他们各自的多空概率位置和主导动能颜色，大家手里的股票也一样，网上查一下博尔证券量化交易系统，自己看一下自己手中的股票就可以了。</SPAN></FONT></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face=宋体> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P> 点点滴滴点点滴滴点对点的
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