<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">【大盘回顾】<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">上证本周一、二惯性冲高，周三探底回升，周四小幅攀升，周五震荡回落，周跌幅<SPAN lang=EN-US>0.91%</SPAN>。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">【资金流向】<SPAN class=hangju><SPAN style="COLOR: black">本周两市资金累计净流入约<SPAN lang=EN-US>223.83</SPAN>亿，和上周的资金净流入相比已减少一半。本周资金净流入排名前列的依次是：电子信息、计算机、<SPAN lang=EN-US>3G</SPAN>、上海本地股、有色金属。资金净流出排名前列的依次是：金融类、地产。</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">【均线系统】<SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-tab-count: 1"> </SPAN><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">1、</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">日<SPAN lang=EN-US>K</SPAN>线图上，上证本周冲高回补<SPAN lang=EN-US>3020-3039</SPAN>点缺口后快速回落，未能保持强势突破<SPAN lang=EN-US>3086</SPAN>点附近的<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>日均线，开始运行下跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>e</SPAN>浪<SPAN style="COLOR: black">；</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>日均线拐头向下，<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>60</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>120</SPAN>日均线走平，支撑无力。前低<SPAN lang=EN-US>2639</SPAN>点不破，并重返<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>日均线之上才能确立新的上升通道。<SPAN style="COLOR: black"> </SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">2、</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">周<SPAN lang=EN-US>K</SPAN>线图上，上证本周受<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>周均线支撑，摸高至<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>周均线（<SPAN lang=EN-US>3091</SPAN>点附近）下方，但未能保持强势，放量收长上影小阴；<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>周均线跌势有所减缓，虽具圆弧底迹象，但在巨额解禁股冲击下，构筑失败的概率较大。<SPAN lang=EN-US>MACD</SPAN>绿柱加长，<SPAN lang=EN-US>DIF</SPAN>继续向下“死叉”<SPAN lang=EN-US>DEA</SPAN>。中级调整尚未结束，不排除上证再次回试<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>周均线（<SPAN lang=EN-US>2760</SPAN>点附近）的可能性。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><SPAN class=hangju><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">3、</SPAN></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">月<SPAN lang=EN-US>K</SPAN>线图上，<SPAN class=hangju>八月份</SPAN>上证<SPAN class=hangju>结束七连阳，高位大幅回落，缩量长阴击穿<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>月均线，跌幅高达<SPAN lang=EN-US>21.81%</SPAN>！九月份成功向<SPAN lang=EN-US>2932</SPAN>点附近的<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>月均线实施反抽并突破，但重心下移，回探<SPAN lang=EN-US>60</SPAN>月均线支撑（<SPAN lang=EN-US>2470</SPAN>点附近）的惯性依然存在。 <SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: #2a2a2a; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">【下周预测】<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" align=left><SPAN class=hangju><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">预测下一交易周惯性回落、震荡整理，</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">继续</SPAN><SPAN class=hangju><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">运行下跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>e</SPAN>浪；</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">支撑<SPAN lang=EN-US>2800-2880</SPAN>点，阻力<SPAN lang=EN-US>3000-3080</SPAN>点</SPAN><SPAN class=hangju><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">，看跌。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">【金股追踪】<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">1、</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">本周物联网概念股<SPAN lang=EN-US>000503</SPAN>和题材股<SPAN lang=EN-US>000666</SPAN>保持强势，停牌前的三个交易日涨幅分别高达<SPAN lang=EN-US>23.11%</SPAN>和<SPAN lang=EN-US>22.80%</SPAN>，而<SPAN lang=EN-US>600189</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>002098</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600963</SPAN>等补涨潜力股也纷纷放量上攻，持有者谨防被大盘下跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>e</SPAN>浪拖累，短线高抛为宜。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 18pt; TEXT-INDENT: -18pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo2; tab-stops: list 18.0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore">2、</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">本博潜力股候选名单汇总（<SPAN lang=EN-US>2009</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US>9</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>18</SPAN>日更新）：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">交运：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600270</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>601111</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000520</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>601919</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000594</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000039</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600717</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600009</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600221<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">纺织：<SPAN lang=EN-US>000420</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600107</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000617</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600851</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>002097</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>002036</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600439<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">电子：<SPAN lang=EN-US>000748</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>002008</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600677</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000829</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600797</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600651<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">化工：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600299</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>002019</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000755</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600249</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000822</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000565<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">商业：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600830</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600361</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600811</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600755</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600821<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">造纸：<SPAN lang=EN-US>002067</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000815</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600963</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000820</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600308<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">旅游：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600054</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000978</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600138</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600258<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">电力：<SPAN lang=EN-US>000695</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000958</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000939</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600396<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">机械：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600761</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000852</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">传媒：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600158</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600088<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">食品：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600597</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600962<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">汽车：<SPAN lang=EN-US>000572</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600686<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">公路：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600350</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>000429<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">造船：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600685</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>600150<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">房地产：<SPAN lang=EN-US>601588<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">有色：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600456<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">陶瓷：<SPAN lang=EN-US>002102<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">设备：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600290<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">水泥：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600883<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">石油：<SPAN lang=EN-US>000554<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">包装：<SPAN lang=EN-US>000659<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">农资：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600423<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">农业：<SPAN lang=EN-US>600189<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">电器：<SPAN lang=EN-US>002076</SPAN>等，每周末根据实际走势追踪、增减。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">本博潜力股侧重补涨空间和安全度，适宜逢低吸纳、波段持股；短线狙击仍以盘中捕捉热点为主。<SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
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