老马市途 发表于 2009-8-18 20:29

** http-**="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8">** name="ProgId" content="Word.Document">** name="Generator" content="Microsoft Word 11">** name="Originator" content="Microsoft Word 11"><!--><xml>
<w:WordDocument>
<w:View>Normal</w:View>
<w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom>
<w:PunctuationKerning/>
<w:DrawingGridVerticalSpacing>7.8 磅</w:DrawingGridVerticalSpacing>
<w:DisplayHorizontalDrawingGridEvery>0</w:DisplayHorizontalDrawingGridEvery>
<w:DisplayVerticalDrawingGridEvery>2</w:DisplayVerticalDrawingGridEvery>
<w:ValidateAgainstSchemas/>
<w:SaveIfXMLInvalid>false</w:SaveIfXMLInvalid>
<w:IgnoreMixedContent>false</w:IgnoreMixedContent>
<w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText>false</w:AlwaysShowPlaceholderText>
<w:Compatibility>
   <w:SpaceForUL/>
   <w:BalanceSingleByteDoubleByteWidth/>
   <w:DoNotLeaveBackslashAlone/>
   <w:ULTrailSpace/>
   <w:DoNotExpandShiftReturn/>
   <w:AdjustLineHeightInTable/>
   <w:BreakWrappedTables/>
   <w:SnapToGridInCell/>
   <w:WrapTextWithPunct/>
   <w:UseAsianBreakRules/>
   <w:DontGrowAutofit/>
   <w:UseFELayout/>
</w:Compatibility>
<w:BrowserLevel>MicrosoftInternetExplorer4</w:BrowserLevel>
</w:WordDocument>
</xml><!--><!--><xml>
<w:LatentStyles DefLockedState="false" LatentStyleCount="156">
</w:LatentStyles>
</xml><!--><style>
<!--
/* Font Definitions */
@font-face
        {font-family:宋体;
        panose-1:2 1 6 0 3 1 1 1 1 1;
        mso-font-alt:SimSun;
        mso-font-charset:134;
        mso-generic-font-family:auto;
        mso-font-pitch:variable;
        mso-font-signature:3 135135232 16 0 262145 0;}
@font-face
        {font-family:"\@宋体";
        panose-1:2 1 6 0 3 1 1 1 1 1;
        mso-font-charset:134;
        mso-generic-font-family:auto;
        mso-font-pitch:variable;
        mso-font-signature:3 135135232 16 0 262145 0;}
/* Style Definitions */
p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal
        {mso-style-parent:"";
        margin:0cm;
        margin-bottom:.0001pt;
        text-align:justify;
        text-justify:inter-ideograph;
        mso-pagination:none;
        font-size:10.5pt;
        mso-bidi-font-size:12.0pt;
        font-family:"Times New Roman";
        mso-fareast-font-family:宋体;
        mso-font-kerning:1.0pt;}
/* Page Definitions */
@page
        {mso-page-border-surround-header:no;
        mso-page-border-surround-footer:no;}
@page Section1
        {size:595.3pt 841.9pt;
        margin:72.0pt 90.0pt 72.0pt 90.0pt;
        mso-header-margin:42.55pt;
        mso-footer-margin:49.6pt;
        mso-paper-source:0;
        layout-grid:15.6pt;}
div.Section1
        {page:Section1;}
-->
</style><!-->
<style>
/* Style Definitions */
table.MsoNormalTable
        {mso-style-name:普通表格;
        mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0;
        mso-tstyle-colband-size:0;
        mso-style-noshow:yes;
        mso-style-parent:"";
        mso-padding-alt:0cm 5.4pt 0cm 5.4pt;
        mso-para-margin:0cm;
        mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt;
        mso-pagination:widow-orphan;
        font-size:10.0pt;
        font-family:"Times New Roman";
        mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";
        mso-ansi-language:#0400;
        mso-fareast-language:#0400;
        mso-bidi-language:#0400;}
</style>
<!-->

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 28pt;"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: 宋体;">连续暴跌之后,今天终于迎来了一根阳线,收盘涨</span><span style="font-size: 14pt;" lang="EN-US">40</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: 宋体;">点,涨幅</span><span style="font-size: 14pt;" lang="EN-US">1.4%</span><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: 宋体;">,走势上,早盘震荡颇为剧烈,下午震荡上扬,个股普涨,从盘面上看一片“繁荣”景象,但遗憾的是量能严重不足,故只能将今天的行情定义为超跌之后的技术性反抽。</span><span style="font-size: 14pt;" lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 28pt;"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: 宋体;">从资金面上来看,在连续大跌之后,有部分资金进场抄底,但这部分资金只是忍不住寂寞的游资,而且资金量不是很大,而决定大盘后期走势的主流资金并没有大的动作,所以今天的走阳并不代表行情已经发生逆转,投资者不要盲目乐观。明后天指数不排除继续反抽,甚至不排除收中长阳的可能,但如果主流资金没有参与进来,行情就不会发生逆转,反抽恰是给了前期套牢者以减仓的机会。指数如此迅猛的跌下来,短期内不会迅速回升,预计此次调整还将会继续下去,反抽之后,谨防再次下跌。</span><span style="font-size: 14pt;" lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 28pt;"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: 宋体;">激进的短线投机者看以控制仓位进场博反弹,快进快出,空仓者继续耐心观望,目前不是安全的进场时机,仓位较重者逢反抽减仓,以规避再次下跌风险。</span><span style="font-size: 14pt;" lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 28pt;"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: 宋体;">板块上,前几天跌幅巨大的资源类个股涨幅居前,这类个股主力前期介入程度较深,暴跌之后并没有顺利出局,一旦大盘企稳,必将快速反弹,大家密切关注。</span><span style="font-size: 14pt;" lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 28pt;"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: 宋体;">群内目前已清仓,安心等待调整结束。</span><span style="font-size: 14pt;" lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-indent: 28pt;"><span style="font-size: 14pt; font-family: 宋体;">(更多博文请看东财网“老马市途”博客)</span><span style="font-size: 14pt;" lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></p>

莲红 发表于 2009-8-18 21:33

页: [1]
查看完整版本: 抄底未到时,反抽宜减仓