<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">本周螺纹钢期货探低回升，主力合约<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>周五收于<SPAN lang=EN-US>4873</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，周环比涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>46</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，全周成交减少<SPAN lang=EN-US>87.70</SPAN>万手至<SPAN lang=EN-US>325.66</SPAN>万手，持仓减少<SPAN lang=EN-US>10.57</SPAN>万手至<SPAN lang=EN-US>63.32</SPAN>万手。现货市场在经历前期连续明显上涨后再次转入盘整格局，多数市场出现小幅的下跌</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">，</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US>20mm HRB400</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">螺纹钢上海报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5020</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，较上周跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">消息面上，国际方面，受数据利好提振，周中美股全线大涨，国际油价、金价再度冲高，全球通胀加剧，美国债务问题堪忧；油价及大宗商品持续走高必将加剧全球通胀，对多数国家来说，虽然货币政策进退维谷，但加息之策迟早一天会出台；国内方面，<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>月份<SPAN lang=EN-US>CPI</SPAN>高达<SPAN lang=EN-US>5.4%</SPAN>或引发央行再度加息，钢企或面临真正高成本局面；一季度我国经济生产增速较快，日均粗钢产能<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>月份小幅回落，但数据显示<SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月上旬中国日均粗钢产量达到创纪录的<SPAN lang=EN-US>197.9</SPAN>万吨，旬环比增加<SPAN lang=EN-US>3%</SPAN>。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="LINE-HEIGHT: 110%; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=a><SPAN style="LINE-HEIGHT: 110%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">总结与展望：周初螺纹钢期货受央行紧缩货币政策影响承压下行，但近日美元指数疲软国际油价及大宗商品普遍走高，虽然钢市基本面变化不大，但金融属性的提升及周边商品的支撑，<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>合约重新站上<SPAN lang=EN-US>4800</SPAN>关口。目前商品市场多空因素并存，因此在看涨的同时也要谨防回调风险。操作上建议，<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>合约可于<SPAN lang=EN-US>4920-4800</SPAN>区间交易，注意风险控制。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
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<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">以上观点仅供参考，据此入市风险自负！<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
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