<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">国内期市：周二国内钢材期货减仓下行，整体走势较为疲软。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体" lang=EN-US>RB1105</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">合约终盘报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4772</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>32</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，日减仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>8</SPAN>。<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>合约终盘报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4774</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>55</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持仓量为<SPAN lang=EN-US>682002</SPAN>，日减仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>33934</SPAN>。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">现货电子盘：钢之源螺纹钢主力1106合约震荡下行，终盘报价4729，跌23元/吨。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">基本面：</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN>）现货市场：<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="False" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="8" UnitName="mm"><SPAN lang=EN-US>8mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv><SPAN lang=EN-US> Q235</SPAN>高线上海报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4720</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，广州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4830</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，北京报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4740</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，福州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4970</SPAN>，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。 <SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="False" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="20" UnitName="mm"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US>20mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US> HRB400</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">螺纹钢上海报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5040</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，广州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5140</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，北京报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5090</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，福州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5190</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>）钢厂调价信息：<st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="4" Day="19" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>19</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>厦门众达钢厂对建筑钢材价格进行调整，具体调整情况如下：高线出厂价格跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>80</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，现Φ<SPAN lang=EN-US>8/10mmQ235</SPAN>高线出厂价格为<SPAN lang=EN-US>5080</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨；三级螺纹钢出厂价格跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>80</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，现Φ<SPAN lang=EN-US>14-25mmHRB400E</SPAN>螺纹钢价格为<SPAN lang=EN-US>5250</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨；Φ<SPAN lang=EN-US>10mmHRB400E</SPAN>加价<SPAN lang=EN-US>300</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，Φ<SPAN lang=EN-US>12mmHRB400E</SPAN>加价<SPAN lang=EN-US>150</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，Φ<SPAN lang=EN-US>28mmHRB400E</SPAN>加价<SPAN lang=EN-US>150</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，Φ<SPAN lang=EN-US>32mmHRB400E</SPAN>加价<SPAN lang=EN-US>150</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。以上价格均为含税价格，自<st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="4" Day="19" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>19</SPAN>日起</st1:chsdate>执行。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>）市场追踪：国际评级机构标准普尔（<SPAN lang=EN-US>S&</SPAN>；<SPAN lang=EN-US>Ps</SPAN>）<st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="4" Day="18" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>18</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>宣布确认美国的评级，但将评级前景由稳定下调至负面；并称，负面展望显示至少有三分之一的可能性在两年之内下调美国长期评级。该机构表示，认为存在如下重大风险，即美国政策制定者或无法在<SPAN lang=EN-US>2013</SPAN>年前就解决中长期预算挑战达成协议。在最近一次金融危机开始逾两年后，美国政策制定者仍未就如何扭转近期财政状况恶化趋势或消除长期财政压力达成共识。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">小结：</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">周二<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>合约跌破<SPAN lang=EN-US>4800</SPAN>关口支撑。正如昨日评论所述，目前基本面相对混乱，整体走势将出现反复，昨日受库存及上调电价支撑走高，但隔夜美国评级遭下调及欧洲债务危机迷局吓退欧元多头，致使欧美股市及商品期货大幅回落对今日钢市带来压力。技术上，<SPAN lang=EN-US>KD</SPAN>及<SPAN lang=EN-US>RSI</SPAN>方向向下，日线<SPAN lang=EN-US>BOLL</SPAN>指标显示期价跌破中轴支撑，开口逐渐缩小。操作上建议，回调思维，空单依托<SPAN lang=EN-US>4850</SPAN>持有。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">以上观点仅供参考，据此入市风险自负！<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
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