<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">[</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">全球主要指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">]<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><st1:chsdate IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="15" Month="4" Year="2011" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">4</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">15</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">收盘：上证指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3050.53</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.26%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；沪深</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">300</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3358.94</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.16%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；中小板指</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">6433.80</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.49%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；恒生指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> 24008.07</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.03%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；德</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">DAX 7178.29 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.44%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；道琼工业</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">12341.83 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.46%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；纳斯达克</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2764.65 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.16%</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">人民币兑美元中间价</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">6.5301</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，上行</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">38</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">基点；</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">CRB</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">679.42 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.34%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">BDI 1296 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.99%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">GlobalCoal</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">煤炭价格周指（</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">NEWC INDEX 123.12 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.15%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">RB INDEX 124.11 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.39%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">）</SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">[</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">瑞达国内宏观观点</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">]<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><BR>1.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">中国人民银行决定，从</SPAN><st1:chsdate IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="21" Month="4" Year="2011" w:st="on"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">年</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>4</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">月</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>21</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">起，上调存款类金融机构人民币存款准备金率</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>0.5</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">个百分点。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">这是央行今年以来第四次上调存款准备金率，同时也是去年以来准备金率的第十次上调。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><BR></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">央行行长周小川在博鳌举行新闻发布会上表示，适当收紧的货币政策估计还会持续一段时间。存款准备金率没有绝对的上限，条件如果变化，界限就会变化。</SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">国家发改委已于一周前上调全国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">16</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">个省（区、市）上网电价，为避免对</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">CPI</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">产生冲击，终端销售电价此次暂不变，不过不排除年内择机而动的可能性。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><BR></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><BR>4.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">银监会主席刘明康日前在博鳌亚洲论坛上表示，今年银监会将重新评估银行执照的发放，并对银行设立分行的申请进行严格审批，同时，银监会还将对过去几年的银行贷款进行全面检查。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><BR>5.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">虽然人民币兑美元总体呈现升势，但国际清算银行</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>(BIS)</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">最新公布数据显示，</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">年</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>3</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">月人民币实际有效汇率指数为</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>117.69</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">，环比下跌</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>2.56%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">，同期人民币名义有效汇率指数为</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>112.42</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">，环比跌</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>0.71%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><BR style="mso-special-character: line-break"><BR style="mso-special-character: line-break"></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -10.95pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 10.95pt; mso-char-indent-count: -1.04" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">[</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">瑞达国际宏观观点</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">]<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><BR><FONT face="Times New Roman">1. </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">4</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月密歇根大学消费者信心指数升至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">69.6</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，超过预期的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">68.5</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，现状指数为</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">82.7</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，预期指数增至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">61.2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">。消费者对油价上涨影响经济增长的担心度略有下降。</SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2. </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">欧元区</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月消费者价格指数从</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2.4%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">上升至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2.7%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，高于市场预期，增加了欧洲央行上调利率的压力，并增强市场对欧洲央行上调利率的预期。花旗上周五上调对欧元汇率的预期，花旗称欧洲央行更趋紧缩的立场可能会进一步抵消欧元区周边国家主权债务问题的影响，推动欧元向</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.50</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美元挺进。</SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">今日提示：</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> 22:00</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> 4</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">NAHB</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">房价指数</SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -10.95pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 10.95pt; mso-char-indent-count: -1.04" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">[</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">观点总结</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">]<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">中国</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>3</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">月新增信贷及</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>M2</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">增速双双超出预期，且一季度外汇储备增速不减，凸显海外资金流入中国的步伐未见放缓。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">年内第四次上调存款准备金率意在进一步回收银行体系的宽裕流动性，和应对不断走高的物价压力，同时也向市场明确传递出当前货币环境应继续回归稳健的信号。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><BR style="mso-special-character: line-break"><BR style="mso-special-character: line-break"></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">欧元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美元（中好）；美元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日元（利空）；美指（利空）；德国国债收益率（利空）；美国国债收益率（利空）；日本国债收益率（利空）；</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">LIBOR</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">隔夜（利空）；</SPAN><SPAN la
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