<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">国内期市：周二国内钢材期货受隔夜大宗商品回落影响早盘低开，日内则于4900附近震荡。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体" lang=EN-US>RB1105</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">合约终盘报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4844</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，日减仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>584</SPAN>。<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>合约终盘报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4903</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>11</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持仓量为<SPAN lang=EN-US>672600</SPAN>，日增仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>17936</SPAN>。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">现货电子盘：钢之源螺纹钢主力1106合约尾盘拉高，终盘报价4805，涨27元/吨。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">基本面：</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN>）现货市场：<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="False" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="8" UnitName="mm"><SPAN lang=EN-US>8mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv><SPAN lang=EN-US> Q235</SPAN>高线上海报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4710</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，广州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4830</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，北京报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4790</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，福州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4990</SPAN>，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。 <SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="False" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="20" UnitName="mm"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US>20mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US> HRB400</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">螺纹钢上海报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5010</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，广州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5200</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>40</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，北京报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5110</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>40</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，福州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5210</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>）钢厂调价信息：<st1:chsdate IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="12" Month="4" Year="2011" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>12</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>韶钢在“<st1:chsdate IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="11" Month="4" Year="2011" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>11</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>韶钢建筑钢材出厂价格调整”基础上进行调整：普碳螺纹钢、盘螺、圆钢出厂价上调<SPAN lang=EN-US>50</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，<SPAN lang=EN-US>HRB335</SPAN>Φ<SPAN lang=EN-US>18<st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="True" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="25" UnitName="mm">-25mm</st1:chmetcnv></SPAN>螺纹钢执行价为<SPAN lang=EN-US>5010</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨；高线出厂价格上调<SPAN lang=EN-US>40</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，现<SPAN lang=EN-US>Q235</SPAN>Φ<st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="False" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="6.5" UnitName="mm"><SPAN lang=EN-US>6.5mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv>高线执行价为<SPAN lang=EN-US>4910</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，<SPAN lang=EN-US>Q235</SPAN>Φ<SPAN lang=EN-US>8<st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="True" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="10" UnitName="mm">-10mm</st1:chmetcnv></SPAN>高线执行价为<SPAN lang=EN-US>4890</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，以上价格均为含税，执行日期自<st1:chsdate IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="12" Month="4" Year="2011" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>12</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate><SPAN lang=EN-US>9</SPAN>：<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>起。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>）市场追踪：中钢协数据显示，<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>月下旬全国粗钢日均产量<SPAN lang=EN-US>192.22</SPAN>万吨，比<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>月中旬的<SPAN lang=EN-US>194.48</SPAN>万吨下降<SPAN lang=EN-US>1.16%</SPAN>，<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>月份粗钢产量增长略有放缓，使得国内粗钢市场资源供应压力有所减轻。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">小结：</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">周二<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>合约承压小幅回落，但原材料及现货价格继续上涨对期钢仍有支撑，因此相较于其它商品走势也显得较为坚挺，只是短线国际市场风险情绪略有降温制约大宗商品继续走高，后市继续关注利比亚局势变化对行情带来指引。操作上建议，<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>合约多单逢高减仓，短线多空则参考<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>日线，注意风险控制。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">以上观点仅供参考，据此入市风险自负！<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: right; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal align=right><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
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