<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">国内期市：周一国内钢材期货继续走高，现货报价上扬、社会库存回落、沙钢上调4月中旬出厂价均对期钢带来支撑。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体" lang=EN-US>RB1105</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">合约终盘报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4848</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>9</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，日减仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>656</SPAN>。<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>合约终盘报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4920</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>28</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持仓量为<SPAN lang=EN-US>690536</SPAN>，日增仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>28170</SPAN>。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">现货电子盘：钢之源螺纹钢主力1106合约窄幅整理，终盘报价4774，涨3元/吨。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">基本面：</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN>）现货市场：<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="False" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="8" UnitName="mm"><SPAN lang=EN-US>8mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv><SPAN lang=EN-US> Q235</SPAN>高线上海报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4680</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，广州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4820</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，北京报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4790</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，福州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4960</SPAN>，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>80</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。 <SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="False" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="20" UnitName="mm"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US>20mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US> HRB400</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">螺纹钢上海报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5000</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>40</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，广州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5160</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>40</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，北京报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5070</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>40</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，福州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5180</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>80</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>）钢厂调价信息：沙钢出台<SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月中旬部分产品价格政策，此次调整是以<SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月上旬价格为基础进行的，主要品种执行价如下：高线价格上调<SPAN lang=EN-US>50</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，现Φ<st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="False" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="6.5" UnitName="mm"><SPAN lang=EN-US>6.5mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv><SPAN lang=EN-US> HPB235</SPAN>高线出厂价格为<SPAN lang=EN-US>4800</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨；螺纹钢价格上调<SPAN lang=EN-US>50</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，现Φ<SPAN lang=EN-US>16<st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="True" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="25" UnitName="mm">-25mm</st1:chmetcnv> HRB335</SPAN>螺纹钢出厂价格为<SPAN lang=EN-US>4800</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，Φ<SPAN lang=EN-US>16-25mmHRB400</SPAN>螺纹钢出厂价格为<SPAN lang=EN-US>4920</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，以上调整均为含税价，执行日期自<st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="11" Month="4" Year="2011"><SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>11</SPAN>日起</st1:chsdate>。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>）市场追踪：上周全国主要城市的建筑钢材库存量连续第五周出现下降。数据显示，螺纹钢库存为<SPAN lang=EN-US>684.707</SPAN>万吨，较上周减少<SPAN lang=EN-US>16.954</SPAN>万吨；线材库存总量为<SPAN lang=EN-US>213.292</SPAN>万吨，较上周减少<SPAN lang=EN-US>10.353</SPAN>万吨。清明假期前表现疲软的需求在节后的三个交易日中跟进市场采购，进而刺激流通市场成交活跃，进而加快了去库存化的进程，市场信心得到提振。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">小结：</SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">周一<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>合约早盘拉涨后出现小幅回落，但尾盘再度拉高，整体仍处上涨趋势。目前原材料价格涨势不改，成本支撑推动钢厂普遍上调出厂价，现货市场成交回升，库存持续下降。技术上，日线<SPAN lang=EN-US>BOLL</SPAN>指标显示开口逐渐放大，期价处上轨附近。操作上建议，多单止赢继续上移，依托<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>日线持有。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">以上观点仅供参考，据此入市风险自负！<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
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