<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">[</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">全球主要指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">]<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="3" Day="24" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">24</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">收盘：上证指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2946.71</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.06%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；沪深</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">300</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3251.36</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.42%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；中小板指</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">6707.26</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.12%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；恒生指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> 22915.28</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.39%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；德</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">DAX 6933.58 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.90%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；道琼工业</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">12170.56 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.70%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；纳斯达克</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2636.42 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.41%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；</SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">人民币兑美元中间价</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">6.5625</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，下行</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">24</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">基点；</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">CRB</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">670.31 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.67%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">BDI 1583 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.15%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">；</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">GlobalCoal</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">煤炭价格周指（</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">NEWC INDEX 123.29 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">4.87%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">RB INDEX 123.66 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3.27%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">）</SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">[</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">瑞达国内宏观观点</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">]<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">央行货币政策司司长张晓慧发表署名文章称，在国际收支持续顺差、基础货币供应过剩的特殊情况下，中国人民银行把存款准备金率发展为常规的、与公开市场操作相互搭配的流动性管理工具，而存款准备金的对冲作用甚至超过了公开市场操作。</SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><BR><FONT face="Times New Roman">2.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">汇丰中国制造业采购经理人指数</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>(PMI)</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">预览指数的</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>3</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">月初值数据回升至</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>52.5</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">，较上月的七个月低位</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>(51.7)</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">有所回升，新出口订单指数支撑制造业景气度提升。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><BR><FONT face="Times New Roman">3.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">海南离岛免税政策</SPAN><st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="5" Day="1" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>5</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">月</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>1</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">起正式实施，离岛旅客</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>(</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">包括岛内居民旅客</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>)</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">每人每次免税购物金额暂定为人民币</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>5000</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">元以内</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>(</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">含</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>5000</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">元</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>)</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">，非岛内居民旅客每人每年最多可以享受</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>2</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">次离岛免税购物政策，免税商品限定为进口品，共</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>18</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">种。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -10.95pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 10.95pt; mso-char-indent-count: -1.04" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">[</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">瑞达国际宏观观点</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">]<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><BR><FONT face="Times New Roman">1. </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美国劳工部报告显示截至</SPAN><st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="3" Day="19" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">19</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">当周美国初请失金人数减少</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">5,000</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">人，就业形势改善放映经济缓慢复苏态势。</SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2. </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">欧元区</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月份综合</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">PMI</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">降至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">57.5</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，经济扩张速度放缓，但复苏趋势不变。</SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3.</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">因</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> 23</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日葡萄牙议会未能通过财政整顿措施且总理辞职情况下，该国的政策执行和财务融资风险上升，惠誉将葡萄牙主权评级下调至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">"A-"</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">，前景展望为</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">"</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">负面</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">"</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">。昨日葡萄牙就预算目标向欧盟做出保证，市场对欧债担忧得到改善，欧元因此反弹。</SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">今日提示：</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">17:00</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">德国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">Ifo</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">商业景气指数；</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">21:30</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美国第四季度实际</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">GDP</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">终值；</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">21:55</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值；欧盟领导人峰会</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">(24</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">25</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">)</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman"> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: -10.95pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 10.95pt; mso-char-indent-count: -1.04" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">[</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">观点总结</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">]<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></B></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>PMI</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">作为重要的先行性经济指标之一，今年</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>1</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">、</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>2</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">两月连续走低一度让市场对经济增速产生担忧，不过</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>3</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">月</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>PMI</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">重新进入上行通道将在很大程度上减少投资者对经济增速回落的担忧。</SPAN><st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="4" Day="15" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>4</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">月</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>15</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>3</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">月</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>CPI</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">数据也将出炉，从目前数据来看，</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>CPI</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">走低的可能甚微，若</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US>CPI</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">走高很可能激起央行年内第二轮加息。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; BACKGROUND: white; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">欧元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美元（利空）；美元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日元（利好）；美指（利好）；德国国债收益率（利空）；美国国债收益率（利空）；日本国债收益率（利好）；</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">LIBOR</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">隔夜（利好）；</SPAN><SPAN lang=E
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