<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">外盘走势 </SPAN></B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">：</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">上周五也门、叙利亚再次爆发示威冲突，地缘政治紧张形势升级，国际金价在避险情绪推动下再次震荡走高。<SPAN style="COLOR: black" lang=EN-US>Comex</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black">金<SPAN lang=EN-US>4</SPAN>月开盘<SPAN lang=EN-US>1403.7</SPAN>，最高触及<SPAN lang=EN-US>1424.1</SPAN>，最低<SPAN lang=EN-US>1403.7</SPAN>，收于<SPAN lang=EN-US>1416.1</SPAN>，成交<SPAN lang=EN-US>126867</SPAN>手，持仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>224972</SPAN>手。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">内盘走势</SPAN></B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">：<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>21</SPAN>日</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">沪金<SPAN lang=EN-US>1106</SPAN>合约早盘大幅高开<SPAN lang=EN-US>3.92</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>克至<SPAN lang=EN-US>302.53</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>克，日内最高<SPAN lang=EN-US>303.84</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>克，最低<SPAN lang=EN-US>302.23</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>克，收盘上涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>4.49</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>克，涨幅<SPAN lang=EN-US>1.50%</SPAN>，成交量<SPAN lang=EN-US>17756</SPAN>手，较上一个交易日有所增加， 持仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>45722</SPAN>手，增仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>586</SPAN>手。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-layout-grid-align: none" class=MsoNormal align=left><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">基本面</SPAN></B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">：</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">中东及北非地区紧张事态出现进一步升级。利比亚当地时间上周六晚间，法国、英国和美国等国的战机和舰艇向利比亚有关目标实施了军事打击。联合国安理会上周通过决议，决定在利比亚设立禁飞区，同时授权对利比亚领导人卡扎菲的军队采取军事行动。另外</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN">来自也门的报道显示，在一次反政府的抗议中，至少有31名平民遭到安全部队的枪击而身亡。产油地区的冲突升级推升了国际原油期货重新回到100美元/桶上方，同时避险资金继续流入黄金市场，推动金价持续走高。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">全球最大的黄金上市交易基金<SPAN lang=EN-US>(ETF)--SPDR Gold Trust</SPAN>表示，其黄金持仓量截至<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>18</SPAN>日维持<SPAN lang=EN-US>1,226.40</SPAN>吨，较上一个交易日大幅增仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>9.1</SPAN>吨。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ansi-language: ZH-CN"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
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<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">行情研判</SPAN></B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">：</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri">上周黄金市场先抑后扬，在周初日本核扩散危机影响下，投机头寸大幅减仓令金价承压快速下探，之后日本核危机影响逐渐淡出市场，也门及沙特等国相继爆发示威暴乱令市场避险情绪再次升温，黄金开始企稳反弹，而美元在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri>G7</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri">联合关于汇市影响下，再次快速下行，提振金价震荡走高。而周末中东及北非地区</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">再度爆发冲突更令市场避险情绪白热化，金价短期仍将维持上攻态势，进一步测试上方<SPAN lang=EN-US>1430</SPAN>及<SPAN lang=EN-US>1450</SPAN>阻力。操作上，短线继续依托<SPAN lang=EN-US>1420</SPAN>附近支撑逢低介入，中线<SPAN lang=EN-US>295</SPAN>附近已进场多单可继续耐心持有，中线目标<SPAN lang=EN-US>310<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>330</SPAN>。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">短线支撑：<SPAN lang=EN-US>1420 1400<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></SPAN>短线阻力：<SPAN lang=EN-US>1430<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>1450<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face=Calibri> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
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<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face=Calibri> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face=Calibri> </FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-INDENT: 10pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">免责声明</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: left; LINE-HEIGHT: 16.5pt; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; BACKGROUND: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" class=MsoNormal align=left><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货研究院力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，也没有考虑到个别客户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: black; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></S
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