瑞达期货 发表于 2011-2-25 09:15

<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: 黑体; mso-hansi-font-family: 黑体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.0pt">瑞达期货:<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="02" Day="25" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>02</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>25</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>宏观视点<SPAN lang=EN-US><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">[</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">全球主要指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">]<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></B></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="2" Day="24" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">24</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">收盘:上证指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2878.60</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.56%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">;沪深</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">300</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3190.94</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.51%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">;中小板指</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">6642.05</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.94%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">;恒生指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> 22970.39</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.28%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">;德</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">DAX 7130.50 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.89%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">;道琼工业</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">12068.50 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.31%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">;纳斯达克</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2737.90 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.55%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">;</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">人民币兑美元中间价</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">6.5795</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">33</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">基点;</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">CRB</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">指数</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">659.87 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.45%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">;</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">BDI 1242 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">跌</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">0.88%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">;</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">GlobalCoal</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">煤炭价格周指(</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">NEWC INDEX 126.64 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3.41%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">RB INDEX 118.07 </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">涨</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3.19%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">)</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">[</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">瑞达国内宏观观点</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">]<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><BR></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1. <SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp;</SPAN></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">昨日,全国保障性安居工程工作会议在北京召开,保障性安居工程协调小组与各省级政府签订了今年工程建设目标责任书,将</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">1000</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">万套的保障性住房建设任务分解到各地。去年我国各类保障性住房开工量为</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">590</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">万套,今年任务量同比大增</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">70%</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">2011</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">年全国将建设公共租赁住房</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">200</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">余万套,是去年</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">37</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">万套的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">6</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">倍。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><BR><FONT face="Times New Roman">2.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; </SPAN></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">中国民用航空局局长李家祥周四在国新办举行的新闻发布会上明确表示,十二五期间,预计全行业的投资规模将逾</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">1.5</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">万亿元人民币,到十二五期末,运输机场的数量将达到</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">220</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">个以上,机队规模将由现在的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">2,600</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">多架增至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">4,500</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">架以上。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><BR><FONT face="Times New Roman">3.<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes">&nbsp; </SPAN></FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">如果利比亚政局动荡导致其原油出口中断,中国将在非洲和地中海地区寻求替代供应来源。不过即便利比亚原油供应中断,也不会对中国产生巨大影响,因为在中国原油进口中,利比亚原油所占比重较低。去年中国自利比亚进口原油</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">7,373,014</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">吨,占整体原油进口的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 10.95pt; TEXT-INDENT: -10.95pt; mso-char-indent-count: -1.04"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">[</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">瑞达国际宏观观点</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">]<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></B></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1. </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美国昨日公布数据有喜有忧:截至</SPAN><st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="2" Day="19" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">19</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">当周初请失业金人数下降</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2.2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">万人,至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">39.1</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">万人,四周均值创两年半以来最低;</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月耐用品订单月率上升</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2.7%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,优于预期;</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月份新屋销售环比下滑</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">12.6%</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,引发市场对美国房产市场前景担忧情绪升温。</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2. </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">欧元区</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月经济景气指数从</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月的</SPAN><st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="False" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="106.8" UnitName="升"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">106.8</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">升</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">107.8</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">,受海外工业订单提振,工业部门的生产及就业预期均较为乐观,服务业部门对前景则相对谨慎。</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">3. </FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">利比亚局势动荡依旧,昨日有传言利比亚领导人遭枪击,引发原油市场抛盘,纽交所原油期货回落。但原油价格仍然令市场担忧能源价格引发通胀压力将困扰货币政策,尤其是早已陷入两难困境的英国央行。</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">今日关注重点:美国第四季度实际</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">GDP</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">修正值;美国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月营建许可总数修正值;美国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值;德国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月消费者物价指数初值;英国第四季度</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">GDP</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">修正值;日本</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">1</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">月全国消费者物价指数</SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 10.95pt; TEXT-INDENT: -10.95pt; mso-char-indent-count: -1.04"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">[</FONT></SPAN></B><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">观点总结</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">]<o:p></o:p></FONT></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">中美利差扩大和国际政治施压支持人民币上涨,而我国贸易顺差收窄和热钱流出又支撑人民币保持稳定,人民币进入中期横盘整理的可能性较大,预计</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">3</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">月份人民币将维持在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">6.55</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">—</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">6.60</SPAN><SPAN style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: Verdana">附近。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BACKGROUND: white; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p><FONT face="Times New Roman">&nbsp;</FONT></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">欧元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">美元(利空);美元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">/</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''">日元(利空);美指(利好);德国国债收益率(利空);美国国债收益率(利好);日本国债收益率(利好);</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">LIBOR</FONT><
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