<H1 style="MARGIN: 17pt 0cm 16.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 240%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 22.0pt">行情回顾：</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 240%; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 22.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></H1>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 22pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">23</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">日，沪锌、沪铝延续跌势，沪锌跌幅较大。沪锌主力合约开盘报<SPAN lang=EN-US>19200</SPAN>，最低成交于<SPAN lang=EN-US>19200</SPAN>，收于<SPAN lang=EN-US>19330</SPAN>。日成交量为<SPAN lang=EN-US>709812</SPAN>手，持仓量<SPAN lang=EN-US>322744</SPAN>手。沪铝主力合约开盘报<SPAN lang=EN-US>17040</SPAN>，收盘于<SPAN lang=EN-US>17010</SPAN>，最低下探至<SPAN lang=EN-US>16985</SPAN>。日成交量<SPAN lang=EN-US>40966</SPAN>手，持仓量<SPAN lang=EN-US>102246</SPAN>手。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<H1 style="MARGIN: 17pt 0cm 16.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 240%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 22.0pt">现货市场：</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 240%; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 22.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></H1>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 22pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">上海现货<SPAN lang=EN-US>0#</SPAN>锌报<SPAN lang=EN-US>18700-18800</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，较上交易日下跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>350</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，贴水<SPAN lang=EN-US>785-</SPAN>贴水<SPAN lang=EN-US>685</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨；<SPAN lang=EN-US>1#</SPAN>锌报<SPAN lang=EN-US>18650-18750</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>350</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，贴水<SPAN lang=EN-US>835-</SPAN>贴水<SPAN lang=EN-US>735</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。<SPAN lang=EN-US>A00 </SPAN>铝报在<SPAN lang=EN-US>16720-16740</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，下跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>60</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，贴水<SPAN lang=EN-US>100-</SPAN>贴水<SPAN lang=EN-US>80</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<H1 style="MARGIN: 17pt 0cm 16.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 240%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 22.0pt">消息面：</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 240%; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 22.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></H1>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 22pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">1.</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">印度<SPAN lang=EN-US>NALCO</SPAN>将铝售价每吨下调<SPAN lang=EN-US>22.17</SPAN>美元。<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="2" Day="23" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>23</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>报道，印度国家铝业公司（<SPAN lang=EN-US>Nalco</SPAN>）一高层人士周二称，将国内市场铝售价每吨下调<SPAN lang=EN-US>1,000</SPAN>卢比（<SPAN lang=EN-US>22.17</SPAN>美元）。受公司规定限制这位高层人士不愿透露姓名，他表示，“所有铝制品售价均被下调，因<SPAN lang=EN-US>LME</SPAN>市场下跌。”<SPAN lang=EN-US>Nalco</SPAN>的高层人士称，标准铝锭基准价格被下调至每吨<SPAN lang=EN-US>142,700</SPAN>卢比。<SPAN lang=EN-US>LME</SPAN>期铝本月上半月下跌近<SPAN lang=EN-US>2%</SPAN>，但随后反弹回升在周一触及<SPAN lang=EN-US>29</SPAN>个月高点。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 22pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">2.</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">墨西哥矿业集团<SPAN lang=EN-US>Penoles</SPAN>预计新锌矿将<SPAN lang=EN-US>2012/13</SPAN>年投产。<st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="2" Day="23" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>23</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>消息 据坎艮报道，墨西哥矿业集团<SPAN lang=EN-US>Penoles</SPAN>的首席执行官周一表示，公司已经开始开工建设新的锌矿，预计在<SPAN lang=EN-US>2012</SPAN>年底或<SPAN lang=EN-US>2013</SPAN>年初投入运营。<SPAN lang=EN-US>Penoles</SPAN>的首席执行官<SPAN lang=EN-US>Fernando Alanis</SPAN>在出席<SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年国际锌业会议的间隙时表示，<SPAN lang=EN-US>"</SPAN>我们此前曾宣布投资<SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>亿美元建造新矿<SPAN lang=EN-US>--</SPAN>为原锌矿，其中含有少重的铅和银<SPAN lang=EN-US>--</SPAN>位于<SPAN lang=EN-US>Durango</SPAN>省<SPAN lang=EN-US>Velardena</SPAN>区。<SPAN lang=EN-US>Velardena</SPAN>矿的日加工产能将达到<SPAN lang=EN-US>6</SPAN>，<SPAN lang=EN-US>000</SPAN>短吨，仅次于该公司所属的旗舰<SPAN lang=EN-US>Madero</SPAN>锌矿，该矿日加工产能为<SPAN lang=EN-US>7000</SPAN>吨。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<H1 style="MARGIN: 17pt 0cm 16.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 240%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 22.0pt">技术面：</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 240%; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 22.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></H1>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 22pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">沪锌主力合约延续跌势，从技术上来看，由于本月首个交易日的跳空缺口的存在，期价下跌空间有限，<SPAN lang=EN-US>18950-19150</SPAN>将成为短期有力支撑位。沪铝主力合约亦明显下跌，技术形态亦明显转弱，<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>、<SPAN lang=EN-US>40</SPAN>日均线也被击穿，然而<SPAN lang=EN-US>16900-17000</SPAN>是前期的主要盘整区间，市场跌势基本到位。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<H1 style="MARGIN: 17pt 0cm 16.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 240%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-hansi-font-family: ''Times New Roman''; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 22.0pt">观点总结：</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 240%; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 22.0pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></H1>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 22pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; TEXT-ALIGN: left; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0" align=left><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 11pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体">基本面上，供求过剩的局面尚未改变。资金面上，沪铝主力合约前<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>名净空单回升至<SPAN lang=EN-US>9000</SPAN>手以上，变化幅度不大；沪锌前<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>名净空单减少至<SPAN lang=EN-US>2.1</SPAN>万手左右，表明有空单兑现利润离场。但整体来看，锌铝净空单数量仍处于高位，资金操作偏空。技术显示，沪锌、沪铝下跌基本到位，下方空间有限。操作建议：沪锌逢低轻仓短多，破<SPAN lang=EN-US>18950</SPAN>止损；沪铝谨慎观望。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:
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