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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">国内期市：周三国内钢材期货延续回调行情<SPAN lang=EN-US>,</SPAN>现货成交清淡<SPAN lang=EN-US>,</SPAN>部分商家报价松动。</SPAN></B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">RB1105</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">合约终盘报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5017</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>57</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持仓量<SPAN lang=EN-US>234520</SPAN>，日减仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>18704</SPAN>。<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>合约终盘报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5102</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>74</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，日增仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>2022</SPAN>。<B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">现货电子盘：</SPAN></B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">钢之源螺纹钢主力<SPAN lang=EN-US>1104</SPAN>合约大幅回落，终盘报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4909</SPAN>，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>73</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">基本面：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN>）现货市场：<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" UnitName="mm" SourceValue="8" HasSpace="False" Negative="False" NumberType="1" TCSC="0"><SPAN lang=EN-US>8mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv><SPAN lang=EN-US> Q235</SPAN>高线上海报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4930</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，广州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5030</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，北京报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4820</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，福州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5040</SPAN>，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" UnitName="mm" SourceValue="20" HasSpace="False" Negative="False" NumberType="1" TCSC="0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">20mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体"> HRB400</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">螺纹钢上海报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5080</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，广州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5350</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，北京报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4930</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>70</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，福州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5230</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>）钢厂调价信息：<st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="2" Day="16" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>16</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>，福建三钢闽光股份有限公司在“<st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="2" Day="6" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>6</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>福建三钢闽光股份有限公司钢材出厂价格”的基础上对部分品种做如下调整：高线出厂价格上调<SPAN lang=EN-US>120</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨：现Ф<SPAN lang=EN-US>8/10mmQ235</SPAN>高线出厂价格为<SPAN lang=EN-US>5040</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨；Ф<SPAN lang=EN-US>6.5Q235</SPAN>高线出厂价格为<SPAN lang=EN-US>5060</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。二级螺纹钢出厂价格上调<SPAN lang=EN-US>120</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨：现Ф<SPAN lang=EN-US>16-22mmHRB335</SPAN>螺纹钢出厂价格为<SPAN lang=EN-US>5000</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，Ф<SPAN lang=EN-US>25mmHRB335</SPAN>螺纹钢出厂价格为<SPAN lang=EN-US>5020</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨；同规格三级钢螺纹钢为<SPAN lang=EN-US>5220</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。以上价格均为含税价，执行日期从<st1:chsdate Year="2011" Month="2" Day="16" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>16</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>）市场追踪：据悉，三大矿山之一的必和必拓日前向钢厂发出了铁矿石最新报价，由<SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN>月份的<SPAN lang=EN-US>155</SPAN>美元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨上涨至<SPAN lang=EN-US>168</SPAN>美元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨<SPAN lang=EN-US>(</SPAN>离岸价<SPAN lang=EN-US>)</SPAN>。如果按照澳大利亚到中国平均海运费<SPAN lang=EN-US>7</SPAN>美元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨计算，矿石到岸价格将达<SPAN lang=EN-US>175</SPAN>美元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。一位钢厂人士表示，目前下游行业对钢价的上涨还有一定的消化能力，但是这种消化能力会持续多久还很难说，可能要到<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>月底才能见分晓。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">小结：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">周三<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>合约一度跌破<SPAN lang=EN-US>5100</SPAN>关口支撑，目前仍处回调趋势中。通货膨胀压力加大，国家调控的预期增强，致使期钢高位受阻。但后市成本支撑仍是市场关键，现货<SPAN lang=EN-US>63.5%</SPAN>印粉报价已达<SPAN lang=EN-US>196</SPAN>美元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。技术上，<SPAN lang=EN-US>KD</SPAN>及<SPAN lang=EN-US>RSI</SPAN>技术指标方向向下，日线<SPAN lang=EN-US>BOLL</SPAN>指标显示中轴仍有支撑。操作上建议，关注<SPAN lang=EN-US> 20</SPAN>日线支撑力度，多单尝试，止损<SPAN lang=EN-US>5050</SPAN>。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
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