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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">国内期市：周二国内钢材期货维持高位震荡，铁矿石及焦炭价格坚挺致使期钢再显抗跌。</SPAN></B><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">RB1105</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">合约终盘报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4913</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持仓量<SPAN lang=EN-US>518064</SPAN>，日减仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>13698</SPAN>。<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1110</SPAN>合约终盘报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5023</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>13</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，日减仓<SPAN lang=EN-US>5670</SPAN>。<B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">现货电子盘：</SPAN></B><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">钢之源螺纹钢主力<SPAN lang=EN-US>1103</SPAN>合约继续走高，终盘报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4837</SPAN>，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>18</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">基本面：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN>）现货市场：现货市场：<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="False" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="8" UnitName="mm"><SPAN lang=EN-US>8mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv><SPAN lang=EN-US> Q235</SPAN>高线上海报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4750</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，广州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4920</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，北京报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4700</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>40</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，福州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4880</SPAN>，持平。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="False" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="20" UnitName="mm"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">20mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体"> HRB400</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">螺纹钢上海报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4900</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，广州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5210</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平，北京报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>4860</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>30</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，福州报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>5070</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，持平。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 15.75pt; mso-char-indent-count: 1.5"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>2</SPAN>）钢厂调价信息：<st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="18" Month="1" Year="2011"><SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>18</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>水钢对重庆市场建筑钢材执行价格如下调整：对螺纹钢执行价格上调<SPAN lang=EN-US>50</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，现Φ<SPAN lang=EN-US>16-25mmHRB335E</SPAN>二级螺纹钢<SPAN lang=EN-US>(</SPAN>抗震钢<SPAN lang=EN-US>)</SPAN>执行价为<SPAN lang=EN-US>5030</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨；三级螺纹钢<SPAN lang=EN-US>(</SPAN>抗震钢<SPAN lang=EN-US>)</SPAN>执行价格加价<SPAN lang=EN-US>100</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨；盘螺<SPAN lang=EN-US>(</SPAN>抗震钢<SPAN lang=EN-US>)</SPAN>同步上调<SPAN lang=EN-US>50</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。对线材执行价格上调<SPAN lang=EN-US>50</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，现<st1:chmetcnv w:st="on" TCSC="0" NumberType="1" Negative="False" HasSpace="False" SourceValue="6.5" UnitName="mm"><SPAN lang=EN-US>6.5mm</SPAN></st1:chmetcnv>准高线执行价格为<SPAN lang=EN-US>5050</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，高线加价<SPAN lang=EN-US>20</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。以上调整均为含税，执行日期自<st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="18" Month="1" Year="2011"><SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年<SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>18</SPAN>日起</st1:chsdate>。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">（<SPAN lang=EN-US>3</SPAN>）市场追踪：由于印度和澳大利亚铁矿石供应吃紧，铁矿石现货价格仍维持逾<SPAN lang=EN-US>180</SPAN>美元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨<SPAN lang=EN-US>(CFR)</SPAN>高位。目前，印度矿山<SPAN lang=EN-US>63.5/63%</SPAN>粉矿报价<SPAN lang=EN-US>185-187</SPAN>美元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨<SPAN lang=EN-US>(CFR)</SPAN>，巴西、澳大利亚现货报价亦偏高，与目前港口的现货价倒挂。中国大多买主在高价面前持观望态度，但也有人士对后市市场走势乐观，认为价格有望冲击去年的高位<SPAN lang=EN-US>200</SPAN>美元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨<SPAN lang=EN-US>(CFR)</SPAN>。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">小结：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">周二<SPAN lang=EN-US>RB1105</SPAN>合约处<SPAN lang=EN-US>4900</SPAN>附近震荡，股市弱势整理对商品期货带来压力，但期钢还是在铁矿石及焦炭价格坚挺的支撑再显抗跌。目前，巴西、澳洲的洪灾影响以及印度要继续调高矿石出口关税消息给了贸易商更多囤货待涨信心。技术上，期价仍处上涨趋势中，但<SPAN lang=EN-US>KD</SPAN>处超买区，可能出现短暂调整。操作上建议，短线多空以<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>日线为参考依据。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
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