<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">盘面走势<SPAN lang=EN-US>:</SPAN>今日郑棉<SPAN lang=EN-US>1109</SPAN>合约开盘报<SPAN lang=EN-US>27800</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，收盘于<SPAN lang=EN-US>27780</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，较前一交易日上涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>55</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，涨幅为<SPAN lang=EN-US>0.2%</SPAN>；成交量回落至<SPAN lang=EN-US>52.49</SPAN>万手，持仓减少<SPAN lang=EN-US>20750</SPAN>手至<SPAN lang=EN-US>21.31</SPAN>万手。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">消息面：<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">1</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">、印度国营棉花公司称，印度<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="1" Month="10" Year="2010"><SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>1</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate><SPAN lang=EN-US>-<st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="26" Month="12" Year="2010">12<SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN lang=EN-US>月26</SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><SPAN lang=EN-US>日</SPAN></SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN lang=EN-US>期间的棉花到货量较去年同期增长5.3%</SPAN></SPAN>至大约<SPAN lang=EN-US>1190</SPAN>万包。，截至<st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="26" Month="12" Year="2010"><SPAN lang=EN-US>12</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>26</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>，印度棉花日均到货量增至大约<SPAN lang=EN-US>250,000</SPAN>包（<SPAN lang=EN-US>170</SPAN>公斤<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>包），截至<st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="19" Month="12" Year="2010"><SPAN lang=EN-US>12</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>19</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>时大约为<SPAN lang=EN-US>153,000</SPAN>包。尽管到货量上升，但当地棉价仍预期持坚，因贸易商可能从市场上购买棉花来履行他们的出口义务。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">2</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">、<st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="27" Month="12" Year="2010"><SPAN lang=EN-US>12</SPAN>月<SPAN lang=EN-US>27</SPAN>日</st1:chsdate>，进口棉中国主港报价保持稳定。圣诞假期期间，<SPAN lang=EN-US>ICE</SPAN>期货休市，外棉现货市场没有变化，一如之前般平静。不过，平静的市场蕴含着波澜，除印度棉政策之外，<SPAN lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN>年棉花进口配额的发放情况和外商能否按时交货仍是进口企业最为关心的。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; tab-stops: 27.0pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">现货方面：棉花指数<SPAN lang=EN-US>328</SPAN>价格为<SPAN lang=EN-US>27493</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨，与上一交易日上涨<SPAN lang=EN-US>53</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>吨。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">仓单库存：交易所注册仓单为<SPAN lang=EN-US>129</SPAN>张，较上一交易日增加<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>张，有效预报为<SPAN lang=EN-US>188</SPAN>张。（每张对应棉花<SPAN lang=EN-US>40</SPAN>吨）。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">主产区天气：未来三天，新疆北部和西部、西藏西部、内蒙古大部、东北、河北北部、山东半岛等地有小到中雪或阵雪，其中，黑龙江北部和东部、吉林东北部等地的部分地区有大雪；西南地区东部的部分地区有小雨或阵雨。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体">观点总结：美棉探低回升，短线企稳<SPAN lang=EN-US>145</SPAN>美分一线；央行二度加息表明政府抑制通胀的态度，政策调控对郑棉期价有所压力；现货价格小幅上涨，期现价差继续缩窄，国内棉价维持滞涨抗跌态势。郑棉<SPAN lang=EN-US>1109</SPAN>合约小幅回升，期价围绕<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>日线窄幅整理，<SPAN lang=EN-US>30000</SPAN>关口压力较强，短线延续震荡走势。操作上，短线交易为主。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 24pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 12pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
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