若相依 发表于 2010-12-10 00:05

<P style="TEXT-ALIGN: center; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" class=MsoNormal align=center><?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate w:st="on" IsROCDate="False" IsLunarDate="False" Day="8" Month="12" Year="2010"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US><BR><BR>2010</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">年</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>12</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">月</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>8</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 6pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">周二市场充斥着大量事件风险，各高息货币走势震荡。亚洲早盘，有关中国本周可能再次加息的消息引起了市场的广泛关注，商品货币受到打压回落使美元早盘走强。澳储行</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>12</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">月议息会议决定维持基准利率不变，并在政策声明中暗示将继续暂停进一步加息，但对澳元的影响较小，澳元</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>/</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">美元在利率决议后整体维持高位震荡。此外美国总统奥巴马在亚市早盘表示同意将前任政府的减税政策延长两年，此举被认为是利好美国经济，支持美元。欧洲时段美元指数小幅承压，但美国股市高开低走，非美在美股开盘後自日内高点迅速回落，回吐了日内的大部分或全部涨幅。美国早盘爱尔兰财政部公布了</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>2011</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">年预算紧缩计划，预算包括</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>60</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">亿欧元的减支和增税。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>&nbsp;</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">都伯林时间周二晚间爱尔兰国会开会投票，以</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>82:77</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">的比例通过预算案，同意上调能源税。这并未有效提振市场情绪，因葡萄牙和西班牙等国财政状况不容乐观，同时欧元区有关消除其债务危机根源的机制短时间内难以达成，因此欧元走势可能继续承压。欧元</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>/</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">美元上行受阻于</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>20</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">日均线，有望重启跌势。另外，加央行表示通胀风险总体符合预期，但今年下半年经济增长较预期疲弱，未来进一步加息需谨慎，讲话对加元影响甚微。今日将公布大量经济数据，将重点关注德国贸易帐和工业生产，以及加拿大新屋开工。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 6pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 6pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></SPAN></P>
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<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">欧元</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>/</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">美元上行破败</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>20</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">日均线，有望重启跌势。日图均线维持看跌，倾向寻机逢高做空，初步目标指向</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>1.2970</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 6pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
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<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; mso-pagination: widow-orphan" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">美元</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>/</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">加元再次自日图盘整三角形底部上方反弹，有望继续区间震荡。汇价已经上破了</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US>5</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">日均线，倾向于进一步反弹。倾向寻机逢低买入，紧设止损。</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: Arial; COLOR: #333333; FONT-SIZE: 6pt; mso-font-kerning: 0pt" lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
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