<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">外盘走势：隔夜黄金再创历史新高，盘中触及<SPAN lang=EN-US>1430.8</SPAN>，但而后遭遇高位抛盘，于晚间<SPAN lang=EN-US>21</SPAN>：<SPAN lang=EN-US>00</SPAN>之后持续下跌，高位波动加剧。其中<SPAN lang=EN-US>COMEX12</SPAN>黄金跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>0.49%</SPAN>至<SPAN lang=EN-US>1408.3</SPAN>美元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>盎司。目前金价即将触及<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>日均线，回调迹象明显。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">现货情况：上海<SPAN lang=EN-US>9999</SPAN>黄金下跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>3.78</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>克至<SPAN lang=EN-US>298.78</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>克，跌幅为<SPAN lang=EN-US>1.25%<o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">内盘走势：</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">沪金<SPAN lang=EN-US>1106</SPAN>合约低开<SPAN lang=EN-US>5.84</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>克至<SPAN lang=EN-US>304</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>克，全天震荡走低，尾盘跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>2.76%</SPAN>至<SPAN lang=EN-US>301.3</SPAN>元<SPAN lang=EN-US>/</SPAN>克，目前金价下破<SPAN lang=EN-US>5</SPAN>日和<SPAN lang=EN-US>10</SPAN>日均线，回调之势明显。今日沪金指数成交量大幅增加<SPAN lang=EN-US>1.9</SPAN>万至<SPAN lang=EN-US>4.3</SPAN>万，持仓量减少<SPAN lang=EN-US>1.4</SPAN>万至<SPAN lang=EN-US>7.1</SPAN>万，表明有资金在逐步退出市场。<SPAN lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></SPAN></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">基本面：昨日美元指数第二日小幅上涨，今日亚洲市美元更是发力继续上涨，一举站上<SPAN lang=EN-US>80</SPAN>一线，主要因美国国债收益率上升推动。基本面方面市场依旧在消化昨日奥巴马同意将前任政府的减税政策延长两年，此举被认为是利好美国经济，也为美元提供了支持，后期美元有望继续反弹，鉴于其反弹的基础是建立在美国经济走好的前提下，因此美元的反弹预计对商品的压制较小。</SPAN><?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:chsdate Year="2010" Month="12" Day="7" IsLunarDate="False" IsROCDate="False" w:st="on"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri>12</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri">月</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri>7</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri">日</SPAN></st1:chsdate><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri>SPDR</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri">基金黄金持有量减少</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri>0.3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri">吨至</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face=Calibri>1297.73</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri">吨。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 10pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 10pt"><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">行情研判：昨日黄金在创下历史新高之后大幅下挫，其中<SPAN lang=EN-US>COMEX12</SPAN>月黄金结束<SPAN lang=EN-US>6</SPAN>天的涨势，下跌<SPAN lang=EN-US>0.49%</SPAN>至<SPAN lang=EN-US>1408.3</SPAN>，今日亚洲市黄金延续跌势，表明金价回调压力较大，因高价黄金引发获利了结盘。鉴于美元指数短期有望延续反弹行情，加大了金价调整的压力，但中线来看，欧债危机的担忧继续存在，美国可能开启第三轮量化宽松政策的预期也继续存在，最后中国和印度对实物黄金需求也继续增加，这些利多因素的存在使得黄金依旧有上涨动力，目前的下跌依旧理解为技术性回调，投资者下方关注<SPAN lang=EN-US>1380</SPAN>或<SPAN lang=EN-US>290</SPAN>的支撑。待企稳后，可继续买入。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
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