<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; VERTICAL-ALIGN: baseline; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>关于黄金的所有言论都是它已进入季节性的强势期。在银的领域，人们把很多的注意力放到了这种白色金属能否在持续不断地基础上突破</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">20</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>美元。尽管最近大多数媒体关注的是金价创下了新的历史最高值，但是银也正接近突破关键的</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">20</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>美元这一心理和技术水平的紧要关头。这回应了去年这个时候正在发生的关于黄金突破</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">1000</SPAN><FONT face=宋体><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">美元的能力的讨论。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; VERTICAL-ALIGN: baseline; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>许多人依然清晰地记得，在</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">2008</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>年到</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">2009</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>年这段时间内，金价三次接近</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">1000</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>美元的水平，却在最后的时刻折戟或者即使打破这一水平，很快又向下调整。当金价最终在</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">2009</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>年十月份打破这一水平时，从那以后金价就一直稳居</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">1000</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>美元之上。现在金价和银价的比率是高于五十年平均水平</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">45-50</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>，昨天收盘时是</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">64.27</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>。按照这个标准，即</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">50</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>的比率，当金价是</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">1000</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>美元时，暗示着银价是</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">50</SPAN><FONT face=宋体><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">美元。然而到目前为止，这还没有过去，给投资者打开了机会之窗。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; VERTICAL-ALIGN: baseline; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt"><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>虽然时间很短暂，上一次银价打破</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">20</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>美元是在</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">2008</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>年三月份。从</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">2007</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>年九月份到</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">2008</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>年早期，金价和银价都迅速上升了</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">50%</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>，打破了</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">2008</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>年早期的阻力并且在今年最初的几个月里几乎每天都在上涨。到三月份，黄金和银的技术因素被极度扩张了，然后，就当金价突破</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">1000</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial"><FONT face=宋体>美元并且银价突破</FONT></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial">20</SPAN><FONT face=宋体><SPAN style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial">美元的时候，贝尔斯登宣布申请破产。在华尔街，众所周知，贝尔斯登拥有大量的银商业短仓，并且确实是导致给这一寸头以一种混乱的方式清偿的可能性定价的交易者猛增的一个因素。当清算不会发生这一点变得很清楚的时候，连同被扩大的技术因素，银价在该周的表现创下了十年来的最差。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; VERTICAL-ALIGN: baseline; LINE-HEIGHT: 12.5pt"><STRONG><SPAN style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt; PADDING-RIGHT: 0cm; BORDER-TOP: windowtext 1pt; PADDING-LEFT: 0cm; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 1pt; COLOR: #333333; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm">从</SPAN></STRONG><STRONG><SPAN lang=EN-US style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt; PADDING-RIGHT: 0cm; BORDER-TOP: windowtext 1pt; PADDING-LEFT: 0cm; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 1pt; COLOR: #333333; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt; FONT-FAMILY: Arial; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm">2007</SPAN></STRONG><STRONG><SPAN style="BORDER-RIGHT: windowtext 1pt; PADDING-RIGHT: 0cm; BORDER-TOP: windowtext 1pt; PADDING-LEFT: 0cm; FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 0cm; BORDER-LEFT: windowtext 1pt; COLOR: #333333; PADDING-TOP: 0cm; BORDER-BOTTOM: windowtext 1pt; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm">年九月份到目前的银价</SPAN></STRONG><SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-SIZE: 10.5pt; COLOR: #333333; FONT-FAMILY: Arial"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P>
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