| 江恩原著《股票图形中的真理》节选 交易者基本素质 PATIENCE 忍耐 Patience is a virtue, especially in the stock market. Acquire it if you can. You must have patience to wait for the right opportunity to come, and not be overanxious and get in too soon. Once you buy or sell a stock and it starts moving in your favor, you must have patience to hold it until there is a good reason or sufficient cause for closing the trade. Never close a trade just because you have a profit; do not become impatient and get out for no real reason. Every act, either in opening or closing a trade, must have a sound basic cause behind it. Hopes and fears must be eliminated. There is no use selling a stock because you fear it is going down, nor buying it because you hope it is going up. Look at your charts and see which way the trend points and follow it. If no definite trend is shown, use patience and wait. 忍耐是一种美德，特别是在股票市场中。尽你所能的学会它。你必须要忍耐并等到一个恰当的机会来临，不要过于急切和渴望并那么快就进入市场里。一旦你买入或卖出一只股票而它也如你所愿的那样运动，你就必须坚持去持有它，直到有一个很好的理由或者足够的原因来结束这个交易。永远不要仅仅因为你有了一点利润就结束交易，不要急躁，并在没有一个合理原因的情况下就退出交易。每一个交易动作不管你是开始交易还是停止交易，都必须事先有一个可靠的彻底的基础理由来支持你。希望和恐惧就可以得到排除。因为你恐惧一个股票正在运行的下跌而卖出股票或者因为期望一个股票涨的更高而买入都是毫无价值的。看看你的图表并观察趋势是什么路数，跟随它。假如没有发现明确的趋势，就学会忍耐和等待。 NERVE 勇气 Nerve is just as essential as patience; in fact, nerve is the equal of capital. In getting my experience, I have been broke over 40 times, I have lost all of my money, but there never has been a time yet when I lost my nerve. Years ago, when I was experimenting and working on methods for forecasting the market, I would get in the market wrong and lose all my working capital, but I never let it get my "goat." I studied very carefully how I made the mistake and what the cause of the loss was. In this way, I profited by every mistake and loss, and was enabled to perfect my method of forecasting and trading so that I could make a success. 勇气是和忍耐一样是基本素质，事实上，勇气是首要的。在我的过往经历中，我暴仓40次，并失去了我所有的钱，但是这从来没有使我丧失勇气。多年以前，当我还在实验并总结市场预测中的法则的时候，我犯了很多错并失去了我所有的运营本钱，但是我没有被打倒。我仔细的研究了我是如何犯错的以及什么原因导致我亏钱。这样，我在每一次错误和损失上得到收获，使我能够形成自己完美的预测和交易法则并导致我最后的成功。 Looking backward brings nothing but regrets. I always believe in facing the future with nerve and hope. But let the nerve and the hope be based on some sound principle that will prevent costly mistakes of the past. During my career I have seen many traders who had made one mistake after another and suffered severe losses, and still had some capital to work with but when an opportunity appeared, they lacked the nerve to act. In cases of this kind, the nerve would have been more valuable than capital. 追悔过去除了带来遗憾不会带来别的。我永远信仰用勇气和理想来直面未来。但是要使这份勇气和理想建立在一些可靠和有效的法则上，这样可以有效的防止你过去惨重的损失再发生。在我的股市生涯里我曾经看到大量的交易者一次次犯错并遭受沉重的损失，但他们仍有大量的资金来操作，但当一个很好的机会来临时他们反而没有勇气去行动了。这种情况下，勇气比资金更有价值。 KNOWLEDGE 知识 In the early part of my career I made some great success, and what might be called lucky strikes. I made a lot of money easily and then I spent or lost it easily. But I did not give up or lose my nerve. I always figured that I was a better man after each reverse, because I had acquired experience. Experience is the only school to learn in and the burnt child is the one who knows the pain from having put his fingers in the fire. Mistakes are all right and hard to avoid. They are good for us, because if we profit by them, they prove valuable. But it is wrong to make the same mistake the second time. Therefore, use every mistake as a stepping stone to progress; analyze each mistake you make and the cause of every loss, in order to avoid repeating the same error in future. With each experience I had, good or bad, I accumulated knowledge, and after all, knowledge is the greatest power of all, for capital will always come to knowledge. 在我事业生涯的早期我很顺利的就获得了一些成功，而这些成功更应该称为走运。我很容易的就获得了大量的金钱而我花费或者说损失的也很容易。但是我从没有丧失我的勇气。我始终坚信我在每次逆境之后都会变的更出色，因为我从逆境中获得了经验。经验只能从实际训练中才能获得，一个小孩要通过把他的手指头放到火上才能知道到被火烧的感觉很疼。错误是很正常的并且很难避免。错误对我们来说是件好事，因为假如我们从错误中得益，错误就变成有价值的东西。但是如果同样的错误出现两次，就是件坏事了。所以，分析你所犯的每一个错误以及导致你损失的原因，以便使你避免在未来重复同样的错误，并使每一个错误成为你不断进步不断发展的阶石。我把我所得到的经验，好的或着坏的，积累成市场认知，而这种对市场的认识是最有力量的，资产的积累总是开始于知识和认识的积累。 HEALTH AND REST 健康和休息 Good health is essential to success in any line. It is one of the great assets for success in the speculative market. At least twice a year a man should close up all of his trades, get entirely out of the market, and go away for a vacation or stay away from the market and rest up. Let your mind rest and your judgment get clear. The man who continually sticks to any business too long without a rest or change gets his judgment warped. He gets in a rut and sees things from a one-sided point of view. When you are in the market on either side, it is but human nature for you to hope that it will go your way, and you, therefore, give greater weight to any event that seems to indicate a favorable move to your side. When you are out of the market, you are able to see things as they really are, and judge the market without a distorted view, with hope and fear eliminated. Traders who are continually in the market day in and day out and never allow any time to elapse between trades, sooner or later lose all their money 良好的健康的身体是获得任何行业成功的基本要素。它也是在投机市场里获得成功的非常重要的一个基本要素。一个人在一年中至少要有两次停下他所有的交易，完全的离开市场，度假或在远离市场的地方休息。让你的身心得到休息并使你的判断力变的更敏锐。人过久的从事交易得不到休息缺乏变化，他的判断力就会生绣而变的扭曲。他会变的老套呆板并且从一个极端的方面来看问题。当你局限在市场之中时，不管你是成为市场多空双方的哪一方，你作为一个“人”就会很自然的期望市场按你的想法来运行，你因此会下很大力气来找到几乎所有你能找到的从表面看上去对你有利的事件或信号。而当你跳出市场时，你就能看到市场中真实的情况，并且用没有被市场所歪曲的视角来判断这个市场，从而消除贪婪和恐惧的影响。那些频繁的在市场中日进日出，不愿意放过任何一个交易机会，绝不允许自己浪费任何交易时间的那些交易者，或早或晚会输光他们所有的钱。 .................................... I know one trader who follows scientific forecasting and makes a success. He never makes more than five or six trades in the year. If he buys stocks during the winter or early spring for a rise, and the advance materializes as he expected, he sells out and takes his profits. Then he leaves the market alone, sometimes for several months. In the summer, if he sees indications of a bull or a bear market starting, he gets in again, and if the market moves his way, he may follow it up and pyramid for several months. When he gets an indication that the end is near, he closes up his trades, takes his profits, and like the wild geese, wends his way to the sunny South. Sometimes he stays all winter in Florida, hunting and fishing; then goes over to Hot Springs, Arkansas, takes a course of baths; returns to Wall Street in good health and fit for another tilt with the Bulls and Bears. 我知道一个交易者他跟随着科学的预测并使自己获得了成功。他在一年中的交易次数从不超过6次。假如他因为冬季或者早春季节的上涨而买入股票，当上涨达到他自己的合理期望位置时，他就落袋为安。之后他就放任市场自己去波动，不去管市场的涨跌，并常常就这样不闻不问几个月。到了夏末，假如他看到了一个牛市或熊市开始的信号指示时，他又回到市场来了，假如市场按他预想的运行，就会使用金字塔方法逐步累进跟随趋势几个月。当他看到趋势快要结束的信号时，他就立即平仓落袋为安，并象天鹅一样飞到阳光明媚的南方。有时他会在佛罗里达呆上一整个冬天，打猎钓鱼，然后转道去体会一下阿肯色洲炎热的早春，舒服的享受一系列洗澡沐浴的乐趣，再身强力壮的返回华尔街，有能力应付任何牛市和熊市的挑战。 He makes a specialty of trading in certain favorite stocks. He studies them closely and watches for certain signs that he considers almost infallible. When these signs come, he acts. He does not hurry until the time comes, but when it does, there is no hesitation -- he buys or sells. He keeps cool, calm and collected, and waits for the time to open or close a trade. Another thing he never does is to expect any fixed amount of profits or set any specific time for getting out. I have often seen him make a trade and it would go against him. He would get out and say, "Well, I guess I'll go back to my office and watch them for awhile." Sometimes it would be days or weeks before he made another trade, but when he did, it was based on some good sound reason, and 90 per cent of the time the second trade proved a winner. But suppose he had held the first trade he made and hoped it would move his way. His judgment, being biased, would have become more unreliable all the time. There is nothing like being out of the market and looking them over from an impartial viewpoint. When there is no definite trend, stay out, watch and wait, and your patience will be rewarded. 他使自己成为几个他喜爱的股票的交易专家。他精密的研究它们并关注着他几乎认为是一贯正确的可靠信号指示。当这些信号出现，他就会行动。他不会在时间到达前急噪，但是当时间到达，买卖就从不犹豫。他保持自己沉着冷静，精神集中，并等待开始或结束交易的时间到来。另外他从来不设置任何固定的收益比例或者设置任何机械的出局时间。我经常看到市场与他交易的方向相反的情况，这时他总是马上出局并总是说：“哦，我想我该回到我的办公室把这些情况做些研究了”有时他会在数日或数周之后才进行另一次交易，但是当他做交易时，它总是把交易建立在可靠的理由上，而90%以上的情况是，他第二次交易的成功证明了他仍然是个胜利者。但是假设他仍然坚持第一次的错误并总是期望市场有一天会按照他的想法来运行。此时，他的判断力就被严重扭曲了，他的想法在所有时候都变的越发不可靠。他不会象那些没有进行交易的站在市场外的人那样用一种平衡的视角来看问题。没有明确的趋势时，就不要参与交易，关注着市场，耐心等待，你的忍耐终将获得酬劳。 ----W. D. Gann, Truth of the Stock Tape, pp. 22-25 摘自江恩<股票图形中的真理>第22-25 The Human Body 人类的躯体 There are seven opening in the head -- two eyes, two ears and two nostrils, equally divided, three on each side. From this we get our Law of Three and know the reason why the change comes after two and in the three periods. The seventh opening in the head is the mouth and everything goes down. Study your seven-year periods and see how your markets go down and make tops and bottoms. 在头部有7个开放的孔--两只眼，两只耳朵和两个鼻孔，对称的分开，每一边有三个。通过这个我们获得了我们的“3的法则”，并且懂得了为什么在两个之后的第三个周期会发生改变的原因。头部的第7个开口是嘴，什么东西都会被咽下去。研究一下7年周期，你就会看到市场是怎么传承下去的以及是怎么形成头部或顶部的。 Woman is more perfect than man because she can create. Her body contains 12 openings. Man's body only contained 11. The 12 represents the 12 signs of the Zodiac. The fact that Man’s body only contains 11 openings proves why a man betrayed Christ and not a woman. Note the angle of 11.25. Note the number 11 on all of different charts. Study the position of 7 times 7 or 49 on all of your permanent charts. Then you will understand why the children of ISREAL marched 7 times around the walls of JERICHE, blew the ram's horn 7 times and the walls fell down on the 7th day. This law is also backed with astrological proof, but anything that can be proved in any way or by any science is not correct unless it can be proved by numbers and by geometry. 女人比男人更完美因为她们能创造生命。她们的酮体包含有12个孔。男人的身体只有11个。12代表了12个黄道符号。男人的身体只有11个孔的事实证明了为什么背叛基督的是男人不是一个女人。注意11.25的角度。在所有不同的图表里注意11。25。研究7的位置7X7=49在所有永恒图表里的位置。然后你就将明白为什么以色列的儿童要围绕着JERICHE外墙走7圈，吹羊角号7次，以及墙在第7天倒塌。这个法则同样可以被占星所证实，事物有多种验证方法，但是没有经过数字和几何学验证过的科学一定不正确。 The human body represents the time cycles and every measurement of angles. You have 5 fingers on each hand/ they are above the waistline or solar plexus and represent the 10-year cycle or the two 5-year cycles, which are 1/4 and 1/2 of the 20 year cycles. You have 10 toes, but note that there are 5 on one side and 5 on the other. This indicates that one 10-year cycle which is below the base line, must run opposite to the 10 above the base line, but that the 10 and 20-year tops and bottoms will come out according to the proper measurements from the base or beginning point. Study the different divisions of your limbs. 人类的身体象征了时间循环和每一种角度的度量。你每只手有5个手指它们越过了腰腹部代表了10年循环或者两个5年循环，而10年循环和5年循环分别是20年循环的1/2和1/4。你有10个脚趾，一边各有5个，这象征着一个低于基准线的10年循环，一定有一个反方向运行的在基准线之上的10年，这些10和20年循环将形成的顶部和底部是可以从一个基准的起点被精确的测量到的。请仔细的研究你四肢的不同划分。 Note the 3 divisions of your fingers, and that the third join or ends of your fingers are shorter than the other two, and that the thumb really contains only two spaces or joints, where your fingers contain 3, Learn the secret of this and you will learn why the thumb is so important. Study all of these master charts; apply them to space, time and you will find the cause of tops and bottoms and will know how to determine resistance levels. Go back over and of the old charts you have and study the places where they have had the greatest resistance. 注意手指的第三节，这个手指的末段比其他两节短，大拇指只包含两节，而其他的都是三节。明白这个秘密你就明白为什么大拇指是如此的重要。学习所有这些重要的图表，在空间和时间中都存在，你将找到顶部和底部的成因并且你会知道如何确定阻力水平。回顾过去的历史图表，研究那些曾经出现过巨大抵抗的地方。 Note the price, than determine the time by weeks, months or days, and you will be able to learn how to understand future movements. Look up the position of your master twelve chart and your square of nine, then consider your geometrical angles from west to east, according to time, then consider your angles from the different bases or beginning points and you will be able to determine the position of a stock. 注意价格，并测量以周，月，日为单位的时间，你将能够明白和理解未来的走市怎么运动。在主要的12图表和9方图中查找，依照时间思考从西到东的几何角度，然后思考从不同基准和起点出发的角度，那你就能测定一个股票的位置。 The square of nine, the master twelve square, and the geometrical angles are all mathematical points and do not contradict each other but harmonize and prove up the different mathematical points. 9的方图，主12方图，几何角度都是数学方法，它们不是互相抵触而是互相协调，并且证明了不同的数学方法的统一有效性。 January 17,1931 W. D. Gann 1931年1月17日，江恩签名 The Mysterious Origins of the W. D. Gann’s Square Of Nine |
